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France predictions & odds

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Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$70M Vol.

$2M today

$6M Liq.

499

Ends in 12 months

Highest temperature in Paris on May 13?

Highest temperature in Paris on May 13?

100%

14°C

$130K Vol.

$108K today

$66.5K Liq.

Highest temperature in Paris on May 14?

Highest temperature in Paris on May 14?

41%

12°C

$31.4K Vol.

$50.3K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 13?

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 13?

38%

8°C

$15.4K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

60%

Canceled

$45.4K Vol.

$109K Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Highest temperature in Paris on May 15?

Highest temperature in Paris on May 15?

37%

14°C

$6.3K Vol.

$41.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 14?

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 14?

28%

7°C

$6.6K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

94%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$41.4K Vol.

$322K Liq.

16

Ends in 11 months

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 15?

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 15?

19%

4°C

$3.0K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 16?

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 16?

23%

6°C

$414 Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$42.2K Liq.

93

Ends in about 2 months

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

99%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$9.7K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

7

Ends in 11 months

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 17?

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 17?

31%

10°C

$87 Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

30%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

112

Ends in 8 months

French election called by...?

French election called by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

312

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

78%

Jordan Bardella

$2.9K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

26%

$11.6K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

23

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

45%

$6.1K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like France.

Polymarket currently hosts 18 active markets for France that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next French Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $73.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will France pass a national budget by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Jordan Bardella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on France predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.