President Donald Trump's state visit to Beijing, arriving May 13 for a bilateral summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15 amid trade tensions, Taiwan concerns, and Iran conflict discussions, has driven Xi's trader consensus to 100¢, confirming the first major 2026 foreign leader meeting following his February encounter with Colombia's Gustavo Petro. Elevated probabilities for allies like Italy's Giorgia Meloni (87¢), Saudi Arabia's Mohammed bin Salman (71¢), and UK's Keir Starmer (63¢) reflect anticipated G7 Summit interactions in June and NATO dynamics, while Vladimir Putin's 48¢ odds hinge on potential G20 Miami talks amid Ukraine de-escalation signals. Lower odds for figures like Jair Bolsonaro (10¢) and Nicolás Maduro (10¢) underscore limited announcements, with U.S. midterm elections in November and reciprocal visits possibly influencing further diplomacy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$476,805 Vol.

Xi Jinping
100%

Giorgia Meloni
87%

Keir Starmer
75%

Mohammed bin Salman
73%

Vladimir Putin
47%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
46%

Aleksandr Lukashenko
43%

Pope Leo XIV
21%

Changpeng Zhao
18%

Kim Jong Un
17%

MrBeast
17%

Nick Fuentes
11%

iShowSpeed
10%

Jair Bolsonaro
10%

Nicolás Maduro
10%

Lai Ching-te
8%

Yoon Suk Yeol
7%
$476,805 Vol.

Xi Jinping
100%

Giorgia Meloni
87%

Keir Starmer
75%

Mohammed bin Salman
73%

Vladimir Putin
47%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
46%

Aleksandr Lukashenko
43%

Pope Leo XIV
21%

Changpeng Zhao
18%

Kim Jong Un
17%

MrBeast
17%

Nick Fuentes
11%

iShowSpeed
10%

Jair Bolsonaro
10%

Nicolás Maduro
10%

Lai Ching-te
8%

Yoon Suk Yeol
7%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's state visit to Beijing, arriving May 13 for a bilateral summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15 amid trade tensions, Taiwan concerns, and Iran conflict discussions, has driven Xi's trader consensus to 100¢, confirming the first major 2026 foreign leader meeting following his February encounter with Colombia's Gustavo Petro. Elevated probabilities for allies like Italy's Giorgia Meloni (87¢), Saudi Arabia's Mohammed bin Salman (71¢), and UK's Keir Starmer (63¢) reflect anticipated G7 Summit interactions in June and NATO dynamics, while Vladimir Putin's 48¢ odds hinge on potential G20 Miami talks amid Ukraine de-escalation signals. Lower odds for figures like Jair Bolsonaro (10¢) and Nicolás Maduro (10¢) underscore limited announcements, with U.S. midterm elections in November and reciprocal visits possibly influencing further diplomacy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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