Trump's consistent high-volume posting on Truth Social, often exceeding 25 posts daily during politically active periods, underpins trader consensus favoring 200+ posts for the August 11-18 window. With the period nearly complete as of August 17, ongoing campaign-related statements, policy commentary, and responses to news cycles have sustained elevated activity levels consistent with historical weekly totals. Limited recent disruptions, such as scheduled travel or events, have not materially altered this pace. The 27% probability on 180-199 reflects scenarios of modest slowdown, while lower ranges remain discounted given established output patterns. Resolution hinges on verified post counts through the period's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
200+ 72%
180-199 27%
160-179 4.0%
140-159 <1%
$50,872 Vol.
$50,872 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
4%
180-199
27%
200+
72%
200+ 72%
180-199 27%
160-179 4.0%
140-159 <1%
$50,872 Vol.
$50,872 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
140-159
$5,515 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$6,743 Vol.
4%
180-199
$4,958 Vol.
27%
200+
$8,423 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's consistent high-volume posting on Truth Social, often exceeding 25 posts daily during politically active periods, underpins trader consensus favoring 200+ posts for the August 11-18 window. With the period nearly complete as of August 17, ongoing campaign-related statements, policy commentary, and responses to news cycles have sustained elevated activity levels consistent with historical weekly totals. Limited recent disruptions, such as scheduled travel or events, have not materially altered this pace. The 27% probability on 180-199 reflects scenarios of modest slowdown, while lower ranges remain discounted given established output patterns. Resolution hinges on verified post counts through the period's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$50,872End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's consistent high-volume posting on Truth Social, often exceeding 25 posts daily during politically active periods, underpins trader consensus favoring 200+ posts for the August 11-18 window. With the period nearly complete as of August 17, ongoing campaign-related statements, policy commentary, and responses to news cycles have sustained elevated activity levels consistent with historical weekly totals. Limited recent disruptions, such as scheduled travel or events, have not materially altered this pace. The 27% probability on 180-199 reflects scenarios of modest slowdown, while lower ranges remain discounted given established output patterns. Resolution hinges on verified post counts through the period's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$50,872End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's consistent high-volume posting on Truth Social, often exceeding 25 posts daily during politically active periods, underpins trader consensus favoring 200+ posts for the August 11-18 window. With the period nearly complete as of August 17, ongoing campaign-related statements, policy commentary, and responses to news cycles have sustained elevated activity levels consistent with historical weekly totals. Limited recent disruptions, such as scheduled travel or events, have not materially altered this pace. The 27% probability on 180-199 reflects scenarios of modest slowdown, while lower ranges remain discounted given established output patterns. Resolution hinges on verified post counts through the period's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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