Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume during August 11-18 centers on his established posting patterns, where the 200-219 range leads at 18% implied probability, closely followed by 180-199 and 220-239. Musk's output varies with Tesla and xAI developments, regulatory updates, and real-time cultural moments, producing a competitive spread rather than a clear frontrunner. Historical weekly averages around this level anchor the consensus, yet upcoming catalysts like product launches or platform announcements could shift daily cadence and push totals higher or lower. Traders weigh this variability against consistent engagement trends, noting that even modest changes in news intensity often determine whether the final count lands in the upper or lower end of the clustered ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 15%
160-179 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
9%
160-179
12%
180-199
17%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
11%
260-279
9%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 15%
160-179 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
<20
$115 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$115 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$115 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$6,502 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$12 Vol.
1%
100-119
$12 Vol.
1%
120-139
$54 Vol.
3%
140-159
$0 Vol.
9%
160-179
$69 Vol.
12%
180-199
$150 Vol.
17%
200-219
$194 Vol.
18%
220-239
$79 Vol.
15%
240-259
$263 Vol.
11%
260-279
$159 Vol.
9%
280-299
$150 Vol.
3%
300-319
$194 Vol.
2%
320-339
$175 Vol.
1%
340-359
$187 Vol.
1%
360-379
$50 Vol.
1%
380-399
$50 Vol.
1%
400-419
$50 Vol.
1%
420-439
$12 Vol.
1%
440-459
$12 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$100 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$100 Vol.
<1%
500+
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume during August 11-18 centers on his established posting patterns, where the 200-219 range leads at 18% implied probability, closely followed by 180-199 and 220-239. Musk's output varies with Tesla and xAI developments, regulatory updates, and real-time cultural moments, producing a competitive spread rather than a clear frontrunner. Historical weekly averages around this level anchor the consensus, yet upcoming catalysts like product launches or platform announcements could shift daily cadence and push totals higher or lower. Traders weigh this variability against consistent engagement trends, noting that even modest changes in news intensity often determine whether the final count lands in the upper or lower end of the clustered ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$9,119End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume during August 11-18 centers on his established posting patterns, where the 200-219 range leads at 18% implied probability, closely followed by 180-199 and 220-239. Musk's output varies with Tesla and xAI developments, regulatory updates, and real-time cultural moments, producing a competitive spread rather than a clear frontrunner. Historical weekly averages around this level anchor the consensus, yet upcoming catalysts like product launches or platform announcements could shift daily cadence and push totals higher or lower. Traders weigh this variability against consistent engagement trends, noting that even modest changes in news intensity often determine whether the final count lands in the upper or lower end of the clustered ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,119End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume during August 11-18 centers on his established posting patterns, where the 200-219 range leads at 18% implied probability, closely followed by 180-199 and 220-239. Musk's output varies with Tesla and xAI developments, regulatory updates, and real-time cultural moments, producing a competitive spread rather than a clear frontrunner. Historical weekly averages around this level anchor the consensus, yet upcoming catalysts like product launches or platform announcements could shift daily cadence and push totals higher or lower. Traders weigh this variability against consistent engagement trends, noting that even modest changes in news intensity often determine whether the final count lands in the upper or lower end of the clustered ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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