Elon Musk’s recent weekly posting totals in the low-to-mid 200s on X have shaped trader expectations for the three-day September 24–26 window, anchoring the 40–64 bracket as the clear leader at 55% implied probability. Routine activity levels of roughly 15–25 original posts, quotes, and reposts per day align with that range during non-event periods, consistent with resolved similar markets and trackers showing averages around 23–30 daily in September. The fresh Grok 4.7 rollout has lifted mid-week volume through promotional replies and AI commentary, yet no comparable catalysts—such as major product launches, political developments, or SpaceX milestones—are scheduled for the target dates. This leaves the market pricing a steady baseline without outlier spikes, while the tight clustering of secondary brackets reflects uncertainty over whether subtle weekend dips or minor news could shift the final count.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 55%
65-89 30%
<40 9%
90-114 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
<40
9%
40-64
55%
65-89
30%
90-114
7%
115-139
2%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 55%
65-89 30%
<40 9%
90-114 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
<40
$489 Vol.
9%
40-64
$326 Vol.
55%
65-89
$176 Vol.
30%
90-114
$268 Vol.
7%
115-139
$97 Vol.
2%
140-164
$52 Vol.
1%
165-189
$60 Vol.
1%
190-214
$58 Vol.
1%
215-239
$675 Vol.
<1%
240+
$645 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 24 12:00 PM ET to September 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent weekly posting totals in the low-to-mid 200s on X have shaped trader expectations for the three-day September 24–26 window, anchoring the 40–64 bracket as the clear leader at 55% implied probability. Routine activity levels of roughly 15–25 original posts, quotes, and reposts per day align with that range during non-event periods, consistent with resolved similar markets and trackers showing averages around 23–30 daily in September. The fresh Grok 4.7 rollout has lifted mid-week volume through promotional replies and AI commentary, yet no comparable catalysts—such as major product launches, political developments, or SpaceX milestones—are scheduled for the target dates. This leaves the market pricing a steady baseline without outlier spikes, while the tight clustering of secondary brackets reflects uncertainty over whether subtle weekend dips or minor news could shift the final count.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 24 12:00 PM ET to September 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$2,746End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 24 12:00 PM ET to September 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent weekly posting totals in the low-to-mid 200s on X have shaped trader expectations for the three-day September 24–26 window, anchoring the 40–64 bracket as the clear leader at 55% implied probability. Routine activity levels of roughly 15–25 original posts, quotes, and reposts per day align with that range during non-event periods, consistent with resolved similar markets and trackers showing averages around 23–30 daily in September. The fresh Grok 4.7 rollout has lifted mid-week volume through promotional replies and AI commentary, yet no comparable catalysts—such as major product launches, political developments, or SpaceX milestones—are scheduled for the target dates. This leaves the market pricing a steady baseline without outlier spikes, while the tight clustering of secondary brackets reflects uncertainty over whether subtle weekend dips or minor news could shift the final count.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 24 12:00 PM ET to September 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,746End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent weekly posting totals in the low-to-mid 200s on X have shaped trader expectations for the three-day September 24–26 window, anchoring the 40–64 bracket as the clear leader at 55% implied probability. Routine activity levels of roughly 15–25 original posts, quotes, and reposts per day align with that range during non-event periods, consistent with resolved similar markets and trackers showing averages around 23–30 daily in September. The fresh Grok 4.7 rollout has lifted mid-week volume through promotional replies and AI commentary, yet no comparable catalysts—such as major product launches, political developments, or SpaceX milestones—are scheduled for the target dates. This leaves the market pricing a steady baseline without outlier spikes, while the tight clustering of secondary brackets reflects uncertainty over whether subtle weekend dips or minor news could shift the final count.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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