Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record domestic run, fueled by a $360 million opening weekend and sustained audience demand for Tom Holland's Peter Parker, has propelled it past Star Wars: The Force Awakens to claim the all-time North American gross crown at roughly $944 million as of September 20. Consistent top-three positioning through its eighth weekend, strong word-of-mouth, and minimal competition in late September underpin trader consensus around the 950-960 million bracket by month-end. An upset below 940 million would require an abrupt collapse in daily earnings or unexpected blockbuster competition, while exceeding 960 million hinges on unusually resilient holdover performance in the final days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
950 - 960m 98.0%
940 - 950m 2.2%
<940m <1%
960 - 970m <1%
$865,517 Vol.
$865,517 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<940m
<1%
940 - 950m
2%
950 - 960m
98%
960 - 970m
<1%
970m+
<1%
950 - 960m 98.0%
940 - 950m 2.2%
<940m <1%
960 - 970m <1%
$865,517 Vol.
$865,517 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<940m
$166,686 Vol.
<1%
940 - 950m
$256,846 Vol.
2%
950 - 960m
$198,611 Vol.
98%
960 - 970m
$129,537 Vol.
<1%
970m+
$113,838 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record domestic run, fueled by a $360 million opening weekend and sustained audience demand for Tom Holland's Peter Parker, has propelled it past Star Wars: The Force Awakens to claim the all-time North American gross crown at roughly $944 million as of September 20. Consistent top-three positioning through its eighth weekend, strong word-of-mouth, and minimal competition in late September underpin trader consensus around the 950-960 million bracket by month-end. An upset below 940 million would require an abrupt collapse in daily earnings or unexpected blockbuster competition, while exceeding 960 million hinges on unusually resilient holdover performance in the final days.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$865,517End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record domestic run, fueled by a $360 million opening weekend and sustained audience demand for Tom Holland's Peter Parker, has propelled it past Star Wars: The Force Awakens to claim the all-time North American gross crown at roughly $944 million as of September 20. Consistent top-three positioning through its eighth weekend, strong word-of-mouth, and minimal competition in late September underpin trader consensus around the 950-960 million bracket by month-end. An upset below 940 million would require an abrupt collapse in daily earnings or unexpected blockbuster competition, while exceeding 960 million hinges on unusually resilient holdover performance in the final days.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$865,517End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record domestic run, fueled by a $360 million opening weekend and sustained audience demand for Tom Holland's Peter Parker, has propelled it past Star Wars: The Force Awakens to claim the all-time North American gross crown at roughly $944 million as of September 20. Consistent top-three positioning through its eighth weekend, strong word-of-mouth, and minimal competition in late September underpin trader consensus around the 950-960 million bracket by month-end. An upset below 940 million would require an abrupt collapse in daily earnings or unexpected blockbuster competition, while exceeding 960 million hinges on unusually resilient holdover performance in the final days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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