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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Paul Giamatti 46%

Robert Pattinson 19.9%

Sam Rockwell 19.5%

Edward Norton 7.8%

Polymarket

$29,642 Vol.

Paul Giamatti 46%

Robert Pattinson 19.9%

Sam Rockwell 19.5%

Edward Norton 7.8%

Polymarket

$29,642 Vol.

icon for Paul Giamatti

Paul Giamatti

$7,420 Vol.

46%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$15,009 Vol.

20%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$505 Vol.

20%

icon for Edward Norton

Edward Norton

$902 Vol.

8%

icon for Miles Teller

Miles Teller

$150 Vol.

8%

icon for John Goodman

John Goodman

$1,627 Vol.

4%

icon for Robert De Niro

Robert De Niro

$134 Vol.

4%

icon for Riz Ahmed

Riz Ahmed

$162 Vol.

4%

icon for Steve Buscemi

Steve Buscemi

$125 Vol.

4%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$293 Vol.

4%

icon for Jesse Plemons

Jesse Plemons

$155 Vol.

4%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$134 Vol.

4%

icon for Himesh Patel

Himesh Patel

$132 Vol.

4%

icon for Daniel Craig

Daniel Craig

$132 Vol.

4%

icon for Colman Domingo

Colman Domingo

$273 Vol.

3%

icon for Michael Fassbender

Michael Fassbender

$197 Vol.

3%

icon for Adam Scott

Adam Scott

$157 Vol.

3%

icon for Channing Tatum

Channing Tatum

$222 Vol.

2%

icon for Guy Pearce

Guy Pearce

$694 Vol.

7%

icon for Charles Melton

Charles Melton

$727 Vol.

1%

icon for James Ortiz

James Ortiz

$152 Vol.

1%

icon for Travis Scott

Travis Scott

$337 Vol.

1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars race still in its earliest stages for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no single performance has yet established clear momentum. Paul Giamatti holds the highest implied probability at 46% on the strength of his established awards profile and consistent critical regard, while Robert Pattinson and Sam Rockwell sit near 20% amid speculation about potential supporting turns. The long list of lower-probability names underscores how guild nominations, festival premieres, and early critics' awards will likely reshape positioning in the coming months. Historical patterns show supporting actor categories often shift rapidly once precursor results arrive, rewarding traders who monitor SAG-AFTRA and critics' circle signals closely.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,642
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars race still in its earliest stages for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no single performance has yet established clear momentum. Paul Giamatti holds the highest implied probability at 46% on the strength of his established awards profile and consistent critical regard, while Robert Pattinson and Sam Rockwell sit near 20% amid speculation about potential supporting turns. The long list of lower-probability names underscores how guild nominations, festival premieres, and early critics' awards will likely reshape positioning in the coming months. Historical patterns show supporting actor categories often shift rapidly once precursor results arrive, rewarding traders who monitor SAG-AFTRA and critics' circle signals closely.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,642
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul Giamatti" at 46%, followed by "Robert Pattinson" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" has generated $29.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" is "Paul Giamatti" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robert Pattinson" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.