With the 2027 Oscars race still in its earliest stages for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no single performance has yet established clear momentum. Paul Giamatti holds the highest implied probability at 46% on the strength of his established awards profile and consistent critical regard, while Robert Pattinson and Sam Rockwell sit near 20% amid speculation about potential supporting turns. The long list of lower-probability names underscores how guild nominations, festival premieres, and early critics' awards will likely reshape positioning in the coming months. Historical patterns show supporting actor categories often shift rapidly once precursor results arrive, rewarding traders who monitor SAG-AFTRA and critics' circle signals closely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 46%
Robert Pattinson 19.9%
Sam Rockwell 19.5%
Edward Norton 7.8%
$29,642 Vol.
$29,642 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
46%

Robert Pattinson
20%

Sam Rockwell
20%

Edward Norton
8%

Miles Teller
8%

John Goodman
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Michael Fassbender
3%

Adam Scott
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Guy Pearce
7%

Charles Melton
1%

James Ortiz
1%

Travis Scott
1%
Paul Giamatti 46%
Robert Pattinson 19.9%
Sam Rockwell 19.5%
Edward Norton 7.8%
$29,642 Vol.
$29,642 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
46%

Robert Pattinson
20%

Sam Rockwell
20%

Edward Norton
8%

Miles Teller
8%

John Goodman
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Michael Fassbender
3%

Adam Scott
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Guy Pearce
7%

Charles Melton
1%

James Ortiz
1%

Travis Scott
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars race still in its earliest stages for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no single performance has yet established clear momentum. Paul Giamatti holds the highest implied probability at 46% on the strength of his established awards profile and consistent critical regard, while Robert Pattinson and Sam Rockwell sit near 20% amid speculation about potential supporting turns. The long list of lower-probability names underscores how guild nominations, festival premieres, and early critics' awards will likely reshape positioning in the coming months. Historical patterns show supporting actor categories often shift rapidly once precursor results arrive, rewarding traders who monitor SAG-AFTRA and critics' circle signals closely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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