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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

$39,064 Vol.

Jan 20, 2027
Polymarket

$39,064 Vol.

Polymarket

Matt Damon

$3,190 Vol.

88%

Andrew Scott

$7,947 Vol.

85%

John Malkovich

$347 Vol.

82%

Tom Cruise

$5,379 Vol.

61%

Robert Pattinson

$691 Vol.

45%

Ryan Gosling

$5,110 Vol.

43%

Sebastian Stan

$1,098 Vol.

35%

Timothée Chalamet

$4,669 Vol.

29%

Pedro Pascal

$1,075 Vol.

18%

Adam Driver

$73 Vol.

18%

John Turturro

$1,506 Vol.

16%

Javier Bardem

$439 Vol.

13%

Jaafar Jackson

$535 Vol.

13%

Jeremy Strong

$3,542 Vol.

11%

Robert Aramayo

$466 Vol.

8%

Sam Rockwell

$960 Vol.

6%

Brad Pitt

$1,811 Vol.

6%

Josh O'Connor

$225 Vol.

6%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Matt Damon’s physically demanding lead performance in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster The Odyssey has anchored early trader consensus for a Best Actor nomination, fueled by the film’s box-office dominance and awards-friendly scale. Tom Cruise benefits from a long-overdue narrative and strong tracking for his turn in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger, while recent Telluride and Venice premieres have lifted Andrew Scott’s profile in Elsinore and John Malkovich’s in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine. Additional momentum surrounds Ryan Gosling in Project Hail Mary and Sebastian Stan in Fjord ahead of further fall festival reactions. With nominations voting set for mid-January 2027, guild precursors and critical consensus through December will shape the five-slot field in this historically competitive category.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$39,064
End Date
Jan 21, 2027
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Matt Damon’s physically demanding lead performance in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster The Odyssey has anchored early trader consensus for a Best Actor nomination, fueled by the film’s box-office dominance and awards-friendly scale. Tom Cruise benefits from a long-overdue narrative and strong tracking for his turn in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger, while recent Telluride and Venice premieres have lifted Andrew Scott’s profile in Elsinore and John Malkovich’s in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine. Additional momentum surrounds Ryan Gosling in Project Hail Mary and Sebastian Stan in Fjord ahead of further fall festival reactions. With nominations voting set for mid-January 2027, guild precursors and critical consensus through December will shape the five-slot field in this historically competitive category.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$39,064
End Date
Jan 21, 2027
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Damon" at 88%, followed by "Andrew Scott" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" has generated $39.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" is "Matt Damon" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andrew Scott" at 85%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.