Recent casting developments under director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon MGM Studios have kept the next James Bond decision unresolved, driving "No Bond chosen" to the top of trader sentiment at 35.1%. Screen tests scheduled for September among a shortlist of six British actors—including frontrunner Jack Lowden at 20.3% and surprise contender Jack Barton at 12.0%—have fueled momentum around emerging names like Callum Turner and Harris Dickinson. Gary Oldman’s public endorsement of his Slow Horses co-star Lowden briefly strengthened that position before clarification tempered the buzz. Industry emphasis on selecting a relatively unknown or enigmatic talent, consistent with historical patterns favoring fresh faces over established stars, continues to shape the competitive field ahead of a potential year-end announcement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
No Bond chosen 35.1%
Jack Lowden 21.1%
Jack Barton 11.9%
Callum Turner 7.9%
$833,746 Vol.
$833,746 Vol.
No Bond chosen
35%
Jack Lowden
21%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
8%
Harris Dickinson
2%
Richard Madden
1%
Jack O'Connell
1%
Tom Francis
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Jacob Elordi
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Theo James
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Jonathan Bailey
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
No Bond chosen 35.1%
Jack Lowden 21.1%
Jack Barton 11.9%
Callum Turner 7.9%
$833,746 Vol.
$833,746 Vol.
No Bond chosen
35%
Jack Lowden
21%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
8%
Harris Dickinson
2%
Richard Madden
1%
Jack O'Connell
1%
Tom Francis
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Jacob Elordi
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Theo James
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Jonathan Bailey
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent casting developments under director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon MGM Studios have kept the next James Bond decision unresolved, driving "No Bond chosen" to the top of trader sentiment at 35.1%. Screen tests scheduled for September among a shortlist of six British actors—including frontrunner Jack Lowden at 20.3% and surprise contender Jack Barton at 12.0%—have fueled momentum around emerging names like Callum Turner and Harris Dickinson. Gary Oldman’s public endorsement of his Slow Horses co-star Lowden briefly strengthened that position before clarification tempered the buzz. Industry emphasis on selecting a relatively unknown or enigmatic talent, consistent with historical patterns favoring fresh faces over established stars, continues to shape the competitive field ahead of a potential year-end announcement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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