The 2027 Best Picture race is taking shape around Christopher Nolan’s summer tentpole “The Odyssey,” which leads early consensus thanks to strong reviews and box-office momentum, while fall festival results have elevated Netflix’s “La Bola Negra” after its TIFF People’s Choice win and prior Cannes acclaim. Other frontrunners include “Project Hail Mary,” “Dune: Part Three,” “Wild Horse Nine,” “The Debut,” and “Fjord,” with studio campaigns emphasizing critical reception, audience scores, and historical voting patterns favoring ambitious originals or franchise closers. Traders watch upcoming precursors like the Golden Globes and guild nominations (PGA, DGA, SAG-AFTRA) for momentum shifts, alongside late-2026 releases that could still crack the expanded field before eligibility closes December 31. Nominations voting begins January 11, 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
$32,416 Vol.
Jan 20, 2027
The Odyssey
100%
Wild Horse Nine
90%
La Bola Negra
88%
Project Hail Mary
83%
The Debut
82%
Dune: Part Three
80%
The Invite
62%
Fjord
54%
All of a Sudden
39%
Digger
26%
The Drama
12%
The Social Reckoning
15%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
14%
Michael
8%
Fatherland
13%
Disclosure Day
7%
Avengers: Doomsday
6%
$32,416 Vol.
The Odyssey
$3,543 Vol.
100%
Wild Horse Nine
$5,914 Vol.
90%
La Bola Negra
$3,261 Vol.
88%
Project Hail Mary
$1,777 Vol.
83%
The Debut
$1,851 Vol.
82%
Dune: Part Three
$1,640 Vol.
80%
The Invite
$39 Vol.
62%
Fjord
$773 Vol.
54%
All of a Sudden
$375 Vol.
39%
Digger
$3,017 Vol.
26%
The Drama
$139 Vol.
12%
The Social Reckoning
$4,084 Vol.
15%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$1,712 Vol.
14%
Michael
$1,518 Vol.
8%
Fatherland
$182 Vol.
13%
Disclosure Day
$2,285 Vol.
7%
Avengers: Doomsday
$305 Vol.
6%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Best Picture race is taking shape around Christopher Nolan’s summer tentpole “The Odyssey,” which leads early consensus thanks to strong reviews and box-office momentum, while fall festival results have elevated Netflix’s “La Bola Negra” after its TIFF People’s Choice win and prior Cannes acclaim. Other frontrunners include “Project Hail Mary,” “Dune: Part Three,” “Wild Horse Nine,” “The Debut,” and “Fjord,” with studio campaigns emphasizing critical reception, audience scores, and historical voting patterns favoring ambitious originals or franchise closers. Traders watch upcoming precursors like the Golden Globes and guild nominations (PGA, DGA, SAG-AFTRA) for momentum shifts, alongside late-2026 releases that could still crack the expanded field before eligibility closes December 31. Nominations voting begins January 11, 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$32,416End Date
Jan 21, 2027Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Best Picture race is taking shape around Christopher Nolan’s summer tentpole “The Odyssey,” which leads early consensus thanks to strong reviews and box-office momentum, while fall festival results have elevated Netflix’s “La Bola Negra” after its TIFF People’s Choice win and prior Cannes acclaim. Other frontrunners include “Project Hail Mary,” “Dune: Part Three,” “Wild Horse Nine,” “The Debut,” and “Fjord,” with studio campaigns emphasizing critical reception, audience scores, and historical voting patterns favoring ambitious originals or franchise closers. Traders watch upcoming precursors like the Golden Globes and guild nominations (PGA, DGA, SAG-AFTRA) for momentum shifts, alongside late-2026 releases that could still crack the expanded field before eligibility closes December 31. Nominations voting begins January 11, 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,416End Date
Jan 21, 2027Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2027 Best Picture race is taking shape around Christopher Nolan’s summer tentpole “The Odyssey,” which leads early consensus thanks to strong reviews and box-office momentum, while fall festival results have elevated Netflix’s “La Bola Negra” after its TIFF People’s Choice win and prior Cannes acclaim. Other frontrunners include “Project Hail Mary,” “Dune: Part Three,” “Wild Horse Nine,” “The Debut,” and “Fjord,” with studio campaigns emphasizing critical reception, audience scores, and historical voting patterns favoring ambitious originals or franchise closers. Traders watch upcoming precursors like the Golden Globes and guild nominations (PGA, DGA, SAG-AFTRA) for momentum shifts, alongside late-2026 releases that could still crack the expanded field before eligibility closes December 31. Nominations voting begins January 11, 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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