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icon for Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

icon for Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

The Odyssey 52%

Dune: Messiah 21%

Disclosure Day 9%

Project Hail Mary 8.3%

Polymarket

$17,340 Vol.

The Odyssey 52%

Dune: Messiah 21%

Disclosure Day 9%

Project Hail Mary 8.3%

Polymarket

$17,340 Vol.

The Odyssey

$5,358 Vol.

52%

Dune: Messiah

$3,265 Vol.

21%

Disclosure Day

$2,721 Vol.

9%

Project Hail Mary

$2,311 Vol.

8%

Wuthering Heights

$1,700 Vol.

1%

The Bride!

$1,347 Vol.

1%

The Social Reckoning

$349 Vol.

1%

Wild Horse Nine

$298 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the clear frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability for most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, driven by Nolan's track record of technical sweeps—like Oppenheimer's seven wins—and early raves for the film's IMAX prologue footage, signaling potential dominance in cinematography, sound, visual effects, and production design amid its epic adaptation of Homer's Odyssey ahead of its July 17 release. Dune: Messiah trails at 21% on franchise momentum from prior Oscar hauls in crafts, while Project Hail Mary's 13.2% reflects its strong March debut with 96% Rotten Tomatoes, $80 million opening, and Ryan Gosling's Best Actor buzz; Disclosure Day holds 13% via Steven Spielberg's prestige post-CinemaCon footage. With releases looming through December, guild precursors and festival reactions will be key momentum shifters in this fluid early race.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.

In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,340
End Date
Feb 28, 2027
Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the clear frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability for most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, driven by Nolan's track record of technical sweeps—like Oppenheimer's seven wins—and early raves for the film's IMAX prologue footage, signaling potential dominance in cinematography, sound, visual effects, and production design amid its epic adaptation of Homer's Odyssey ahead of its July 17 release. Dune: Messiah trails at 21% on franchise momentum from prior Oscar hauls in crafts, while Project Hail Mary's 13.2% reflects its strong March debut with 96% Rotten Tomatoes, $80 million opening, and Ryan Gosling's Best Actor buzz; Disclosure Day holds 13% via Steven Spielberg's prestige post-CinemaCon footage. With releases looming through December, guild precursors and festival reactions will be key momentum shifters in this fluid early race.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.

In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,340
End Date
Feb 28, 2027
Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Odyssey" at 52%, followed by "Dune: Messiah" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?" has generated $17.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?" is "The Odyssey" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dune: Messiah" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.