Skip to main content
icon for Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?

Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?

icon for Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?

Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?

A Odisseia 36%

Duna: Messias 30%

O Cavalo Selvagem Nove 7.4%

Projeto Hail Mary 6.7%

Polymarket

$21,642 Vol.

A Odisseia 36%

Duna: Messias 30%

O Cavalo Selvagem Nove 7.4%

Projeto Hail Mary 6.7%

Polymarket

$21,642 Vol.

A Odisseia

$6,392 Vol.

36%

Duna: Messias

$3,983 Vol.

30%

O Cavalo Selvagem Nove

$1,017 Vol.

7%

Projeto Hail Mary

$2,847 Vol.

7%

The Social Reckoning

$842 Vol.

7%

O Dia da Divulgação

$3,106 Vol.

6%

O Morro dos Ventos Uivantes

$1,944 Vol.

1%

A Noiva!

$1,512 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey holds the strongest trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability, driven by Christopher Nolan’s proven awards track record with Oppenheimer, its July 2026 release positioning it for early campaign momentum, and expected dominance in technical categories like production design, cinematography, and visual effects. Dune: Messiah follows at 32.5% on the strength of the franchise’s prior critical and guild acclaim, with its December release setting up a late-year awards surge in similar tech fields. The Social Reckoning and Wild Horse Nine trail as viable contenders amid a crowded 2026 slate, while lower-probability titles like Project Hail Mary face steeper barriers without established precursor buzz. Key upcoming catalysts include summer festival premieres, trailer reactions, and guild nominations that could shift momentum before voting begins.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.

In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,642
Data de Término
28 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey holds the strongest trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability, driven by Christopher Nolan’s proven awards track record with Oppenheimer, its July 2026 release positioning it for early campaign momentum, and expected dominance in technical categories like production design, cinematography, and visual effects. Dune: Messiah follows at 32.5% on the strength of the franchise’s prior critical and guild acclaim, with its December release setting up a late-year awards surge in similar tech fields. The Social Reckoning and Wild Horse Nine trail as viable contenders amid a crowded 2026 slate, while lower-probability titles like Project Hail Mary face steeper barriers without established precursor buzz. Key upcoming catalysts include summer festival premieres, trailer reactions, and guild nominations that could shift momentum before voting begins.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.

In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,642
Data de Término
28 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Odisseia" at 36%, followed by "Duna: Messias" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?" has generated $21.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?" is "A Odisseia" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Duna: Messias" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.