Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* commands an overwhelming 81.5% implied probability for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards because its summer 2026 release delivered blockbuster scale, 94% critical consensus, and a stacked ensemble of Oscar veterans that positions the film for double-digit bids across picture, director, adapted screenplay, and multiple craft categories. Traders see it challenging the recent nomination record set by *Sinners* through technical excellence and acting support for Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway. *Dune: Messiah*, at 12.7%, remains the clearest alternative once it opens in December, building on the franchise’s prior tech wins, while *Project Hail Mary* and smaller contenders trail due to narrower momentum and fewer precursor signals. The market reflects early voter enthusiasm for Nolan’s epic rather than guarantees ahead of guild and critics awards.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey 82%
Dune: Messiah 12.7%
Project Hail Mary 3.8%
Wild Horse Nine <1%
$181,048 Vol.
$181,048 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
The Odyssey
82%
Dune: Messiah
13%
Project Hail Mary
4%
Wild Horse Nine
<1%
The Social Reckoning
<1%
Disclosure Day
<1%
Wuthering Heights
<1%
The Bride!
<1%
The Odyssey 82%
Dune: Messiah 12.7%
Project Hail Mary 3.8%
Wild Horse Nine <1%
$181,048 Vol.
$181,048 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
The Odyssey
$63,860 Vol.
82%
Dune: Messiah
$77,691 Vol.
13%
Project Hail Mary
$12,351 Vol.
4%
Wild Horse Nine
$7,557 Vol.
<1%
The Social Reckoning
$6,515 Vol.
<1%
Disclosure Day
$6,809 Vol.
<1%
Wuthering Heights
$3,190 Vol.
<1%
The Bride!
$3,075 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* commands an overwhelming 81.5% implied probability for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards because its summer 2026 release delivered blockbuster scale, 94% critical consensus, and a stacked ensemble of Oscar veterans that positions the film for double-digit bids across picture, director, adapted screenplay, and multiple craft categories. Traders see it challenging the recent nomination record set by *Sinners* through technical excellence and acting support for Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway. *Dune: Messiah*, at 12.7%, remains the clearest alternative once it opens in December, building on the franchise’s prior tech wins, while *Project Hail Mary* and smaller contenders trail due to narrower momentum and fewer precursor signals. The market reflects early voter enthusiasm for Nolan’s epic rather than guarantees ahead of guild and critics awards.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$181,048End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* commands an overwhelming 81.5% implied probability for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards because its summer 2026 release delivered blockbuster scale, 94% critical consensus, and a stacked ensemble of Oscar veterans that positions the film for double-digit bids across picture, director, adapted screenplay, and multiple craft categories. Traders see it challenging the recent nomination record set by *Sinners* through technical excellence and acting support for Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway. *Dune: Messiah*, at 12.7%, remains the clearest alternative once it opens in December, building on the franchise’s prior tech wins, while *Project Hail Mary* and smaller contenders trail due to narrower momentum and fewer precursor signals. The market reflects early voter enthusiasm for Nolan’s epic rather than guarantees ahead of guild and critics awards.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$181,048End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* commands an overwhelming 81.5% implied probability for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards because its summer 2026 release delivered blockbuster scale, 94% critical consensus, and a stacked ensemble of Oscar veterans that positions the film for double-digit bids across picture, director, adapted screenplay, and multiple craft categories. Traders see it challenging the recent nomination record set by *Sinners* through technical excellence and acting support for Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway. *Dune: Messiah*, at 12.7%, remains the clearest alternative once it opens in December, building on the franchise’s prior tech wins, while *Project Hail Mary* and smaller contenders trail due to narrower momentum and fewer precursor signals. The market reflects early voter enthusiasm for Nolan’s epic rather than guarantees ahead of guild and critics awards.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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