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icon for GTA VI released by...?

GTA VI released by...?

icon for GTA VI released by...?

GTA VI released by...?

$134,560 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$134,560 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for September 30

September 30

$26,959 Vol.

<1%

icon for October 31

October 31

$73,167 Vol.

1%

icon for November 30

November 30

$34,435 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar Games and parent company Take-Two Interactive have repeatedly reaffirmed Grand Theft Auto VI's November 19, 2026 launch date across earnings calls, shareholder letters, and developer interviews, tying the studio's fiscal 2027 outlook directly to the release. The project has already absorbed two public delays from its original 2025 window to allow extra polish on the open-world systems, character-driven story, and technical features. Recent milestones include pre-order availability with early access options, a 26-minute Netflix extended look in late August that showcased new gameplay mechanics, and strong pre-order momentum. While Rockstar's history of last-minute adjustments keeps some uncertainty alive, the absence of fresh postponement signals and the company's public financial commitments suggest the current schedule remains the dominant factor shaping market sentiment ahead of the two-month countdown.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Volume
$134,560
End Date
Dec 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar Games and parent company Take-Two Interactive have repeatedly reaffirmed Grand Theft Auto VI's November 19, 2026 launch date across earnings calls, shareholder letters, and developer interviews, tying the studio's fiscal 2027 outlook directly to the release. The project has already absorbed two public delays from its original 2025 window to allow extra polish on the open-world systems, character-driven story, and technical features. Recent milestones include pre-order availability with early access options, a 26-minute Netflix extended look in late August that showcased new gameplay mechanics, and strong pre-order momentum. While Rockstar's history of last-minute adjustments keeps some uncertainty alive, the absence of fresh postponement signals and the company's public financial commitments suggest the current schedule remains the dominant factor shaping market sentiment ahead of the two-month countdown.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Volume
$134,560
End Date
Dec 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GTA VI released by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "November 30" at 94%, followed by "October 31" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GTA VI released by...?" has generated $134.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GTA VI released by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GTA VI released by...?" is "November 30" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "October 31" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GTA VI released by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.