Recent confirmation that Universal will campaign Anne Hathaway for Best Supporting Actress in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey has sharpened trader focus, placing her near the top of market-implied odds alongside a crowded field. Early positioning reflects the film’s strong box office and prestige, yet the race remains tightly contested because most 2026 releases are still building momentum ahead of guild and critics’ awards. Penélope Cruz’s dual-film push in The Invite and La Bola Negra, plus buzz around performers such as Mariana di Girolamo and Sandra Hüller, keeps probabilities clustered as voters weigh campaign strategies, category placement, and historical precedent for supporting turns in tentpoles. Key swing factors include upcoming festival reactions and guild nominations that could consolidate support before nominations voting opens in January.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Anne Hathaway 48%
Penélope Cruz 15%
Mariana di Girolamo 6.0%
Zendaya 5.9%
$25,947 Vol.
$25,947 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Anne Hathaway
48%
Penélope Cruz
15%
Mariana di Girolamo
7%
Zendaya
6%
Betty Gilpin
6%
Sandra Hüller
5%
Margaret Qualley
5%
Tao Okamoto
4%
Parker Posey
3%
Isabella Rossellini
3%
Danielle Deadwyler
3%
Inde Navarrette
2%
Gemma Chan
2%
Anne Hathaway 48%
Penélope Cruz 15%
Mariana di Girolamo 6.0%
Zendaya 5.9%
$25,947 Vol.
$25,947 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Anne Hathaway
$21,829 Vol.
48%
Penélope Cruz
$1,279 Vol.
15%
Mariana di Girolamo
$286 Vol.
7%
Zendaya
$213 Vol.
6%
Betty Gilpin
$256 Vol.
6%
Sandra Hüller
$444 Vol.
5%
Margaret Qualley
$243 Vol.
5%
Tao Okamoto
$191 Vol.
4%
Parker Posey
$292 Vol.
3%
Isabella Rossellini
$70 Vol.
3%
Danielle Deadwyler
$222 Vol.
3%
Inde Navarrette
$492 Vol.
2%
Gemma Chan
$130 Vol.
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation that Universal will campaign Anne Hathaway for Best Supporting Actress in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey has sharpened trader focus, placing her near the top of market-implied odds alongside a crowded field. Early positioning reflects the film’s strong box office and prestige, yet the race remains tightly contested because most 2026 releases are still building momentum ahead of guild and critics’ awards. Penélope Cruz’s dual-film push in The Invite and La Bola Negra, plus buzz around performers such as Mariana di Girolamo and Sandra Hüller, keeps probabilities clustered as voters weigh campaign strategies, category placement, and historical precedent for supporting turns in tentpoles. Key swing factors include upcoming festival reactions and guild nominations that could consolidate support before nominations voting opens in January.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$25,947End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation that Universal will campaign Anne Hathaway for Best Supporting Actress in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey has sharpened trader focus, placing her near the top of market-implied odds alongside a crowded field. Early positioning reflects the film’s strong box office and prestige, yet the race remains tightly contested because most 2026 releases are still building momentum ahead of guild and critics’ awards. Penélope Cruz’s dual-film push in The Invite and La Bola Negra, plus buzz around performers such as Mariana di Girolamo and Sandra Hüller, keeps probabilities clustered as voters weigh campaign strategies, category placement, and historical precedent for supporting turns in tentpoles. Key swing factors include upcoming festival reactions and guild nominations that could consolidate support before nominations voting opens in January.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,947End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent confirmation that Universal will campaign Anne Hathaway for Best Supporting Actress in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey has sharpened trader focus, placing her near the top of market-implied odds alongside a crowded field. Early positioning reflects the film’s strong box office and prestige, yet the race remains tightly contested because most 2026 releases are still building momentum ahead of guild and critics’ awards. Penélope Cruz’s dual-film push in The Invite and La Bola Negra, plus buzz around performers such as Mariana di Girolamo and Sandra Hüller, keeps probabilities clustered as voters weigh campaign strategies, category placement, and historical precedent for supporting turns in tentpoles. Key swing factors include upcoming festival reactions and guild nominations that could consolidate support before nominations voting opens in January.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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