Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner

Julianne Moore 65%

Inde Navarrette 14%

Renate Reinsve 8%

Sandra Hüller 7.8%

Polymarket

$133,344 Vol.

Julianne Moore 65%

Inde Navarrette 14%

Renate Reinsve 8%

Sandra Hüller 7.8%

Polymarket

$133,344 Vol.

icon for Julianne Moore

Julianne Moore

$89,421 Vol.

65%

icon for Inde Navarrette

Inde Navarrette

$25,359 Vol.

14%

icon for Renate Reinsve

Renate Reinsve

$12,599 Vol.

8%

icon for Sandra Hüller

Sandra Hüller

$3,457 Vol.

8%

icon for Virginie Efira

Virginie Efira

$173 Vol.

1%

icon for Ruth Madeley

Ruth Madeley

$711 Vol.

1%

icon for Scarlett Johansson

Scarlett Johansson

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Rachel Brosnahan

Rachel Brosnahan

$207 Vol.

1%

icon for Sophie Okonedo

Sophie Okonedo

$145 Vol.

<1%

icon for Léa Seydoux

Léa Seydoux

$847 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Williams

Michelle Williams

$255 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding lead in the Oscars 2027 Best Actress market stems from the rapturous Telluride premiere of Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 dramedy *The Debut*, where her turn as a suburban housewife diving into community theater drew standing ovations and instant frontrunner status among awards pundits. Traders have priced this early critical and industry momentum at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting the Academy’s historical preference for veteran performers in crowd-pleasing showcases that also earn strong reviews. Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* sits at 13.5% as a plausible spoiler, while Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others trail with lower odds tied to earlier announcements rather than recent screenings. With TIFF underway and guild precursors months away, the race remains fluid pending broader festival reception and campaign traction.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$133,344
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding lead in the Oscars 2027 Best Actress market stems from the rapturous Telluride premiere of Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 dramedy *The Debut*, where her turn as a suburban housewife diving into community theater drew standing ovations and instant frontrunner status among awards pundits. Traders have priced this early critical and industry momentum at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting the Academy’s historical preference for veteran performers in crowd-pleasing showcases that also earn strong reviews. Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* sits at 13.5% as a plausible spoiler, while Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others trail with lower odds tied to earlier announcements rather than recent screenings. With TIFF underway and guild precursors months away, the race remains fluid pending broader festival reception and campaign traction.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$133,344
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

38%
icon for Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

53%
icon for Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

27%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Julianne Moore" at 65%, followed by "Inde Navarrette" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner" has generated $133.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner" is "Julianne Moore" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Inde Navarrette" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.