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The Game Awards: Game of the Year

icon for The Game Awards: Game of the Year

The Game Awards: Game of the Year

Nioh 3 37.0%

Gears of War: E-Day 36%

The Duskbloods 35.5%

Forza Horizon 6 35.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Nioh 3 37.0%

Gears of War: E-Day 36%

The Duskbloods 35.5%

Forza Horizon 6 35.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Nioh 3

$42 Vol.

37%

Gears of War: E-Day

$57 Vol.

36%

The Duskbloods

$42 Vol.

36%

Forza Horizon 6

$42 Vol.

35%

Phantom Blade Zero

$57 Vol.

35%

Cairn

$57 Vol.

35%

Reanimal

$57 Vol.

35%

Stranger Than Heaven

$57 Vol.

35%

Exodus

$42 Vol.

35%

Crimson Desert

$57 Vol.

35%

Esoteric Ebb

$42 Vol.

34%

Mouse: P.I. For Hire

$42 Vol.

34%

Resident Evil Requiem

$57 Vol.

32%

Pragmata

$42 Vol.

28%

Marvel's Wolverine

$82 Vol.

7%

Control Resonant

$57 Vol.

6%

Onimusha: Way of the Sword

$57 Vol.

5%

Fable

$51 Vol.

4%

Marathon

$57 Vol.

4%

Slay the Spire 2

$1,415 Vol.

2%

Grand Theft Auto VI

$291 Vol.

44%

Half-Life 3

$85 Vol.

27%

007 First Light

$64 Vol.

27%

Saros

$55 Vol.

35%

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Grand Theft Auto VI holds the strongest market position at 45.5% implied probability heading into The Game Awards on December 10, reflecting traders' assessment of its unmatched cultural anticipation and Rockstar's proven awards track record, even after the November 19 release delay for final polish. Early 2026 releases such as Resident Evil Requiem, Control Resonant, and 007 First Light have built solid critical and audience momentum through strong reviews and innovative entries, while titles like Marathon, Nioh 3, and Phantom Blade Zero compete on scope and technical ambition. With the ceremony still months away and many nominees yet to launch, outcomes hinge on late-year reviews, sales data, and guild-style industry sentiment, creating a fluid race where no single frontrunner has locked in decisive precursor advantages.

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.

If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,898
End Date
Dec 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Grand Theft Auto VI holds the strongest market position at 45.5% implied probability heading into The Game Awards on December 10, reflecting traders' assessment of its unmatched cultural anticipation and Rockstar's proven awards track record, even after the November 19 release delay for final polish. Early 2026 releases such as Resident Evil Requiem, Control Resonant, and 007 First Light have built solid critical and audience momentum through strong reviews and innovative entries, while titles like Marathon, Nioh 3, and Phantom Blade Zero compete on scope and technical ambition. With the ceremony still months away and many nominees yet to launch, outcomes hinge on late-year reviews, sales data, and guild-style industry sentiment, creating a fluid race where no single frontrunner has locked in decisive precursor advantages.

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.

If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,898
End Date
Dec 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The Game Awards: Game of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Grand Theft Auto VI" at 45%, followed by "Nioh 3" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"The Game Awards: Game of the Year" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "The Game Awards: Game of the Year," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Game Awards: Game of the Year" is "Grand Theft Auto VI" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nioh 3" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Game Awards: Game of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.