Grand Theft Auto VI leads The Game Awards 2026 Game of the Year market at 66% implied probability, driven by its immense cultural anticipation and Rockstar’s history of awards dominance. Traders see the November 19 release as positioning it for a late surge into the December 10 ceremony, even in a notably thin field where few titles have built strong critical or guild momentum. Resident Evil Requiem sits second at 12.5%, reflecting solid reception but limited upside against the frontrunner, while lower-priced options like Phantom Blade Zero and Control Resonant trail amid mixed early tracking. Upcoming factors include final reviews for late-year releases and any last-minute shifts in jury sentiment before nominations lock in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
The Game Awards: Game of the Year
Grand Theft Auto VI 67%
Resident Evil Requiem 13%
Phantom Blade Zero 4.5%
Control Resonant 3.1%
$46,521 Vol.
$46,521 Vol.
Dec 10, 2026
Grand Theft Auto VI
67%
Resident Evil Requiem
13%
Phantom Blade Zero
5%
Control Resonant
3%
Pragmata
3%
Marvel's Wolverine
2%
Gears of War: E-Day
2%
The Duskbloods
2%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
1%
007 First Light
1%
Fable
<1%
Esoteric Ebb
<1%
Half-Life 3
<1%
Crimson Desert
<1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
<1%
Saros
<1%
Marathon
<1%
Stranger Than Heaven
<1%
Cairn
<1%
Nioh 3
<1%
Forza Horizon 6
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
Exodus
<1%
Grand Theft Auto VI 67%
Resident Evil Requiem 13%
Phantom Blade Zero 4.5%
Control Resonant 3.1%
$46,521 Vol.
$46,521 Vol.
Dec 10, 2026
Grand Theft Auto VI
$30,907 Vol.
67%
Resident Evil Requiem
$2,804 Vol.
13%
Phantom Blade Zero
$1,579 Vol.
5%
Control Resonant
$512 Vol.
3%
Pragmata
$669 Vol.
3%
Marvel's Wolverine
$861 Vol.
2%
Gears of War: E-Day
$348 Vol.
2%
The Duskbloods
$399 Vol.
2%
Slay the Spire 2
$2,215 Vol.
2%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
$518 Vol.
1%
007 First Light
$560 Vol.
1%
Fable
$314 Vol.
<1%
Esoteric Ebb
$375 Vol.
<1%
Half-Life 3
$426 Vol.
<1%
Crimson Desert
$694 Vol.
<1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
$516 Vol.
<1%
Saros
$374 Vol.
<1%
Marathon
$378 Vol.
<1%
Stranger Than Heaven
$389 Vol.
<1%
Cairn
$368 Vol.
<1%
Nioh 3
$258 Vol.
<1%
Forza Horizon 6
$386 Vol.
<1%
Reanimal
$332 Vol.
<1%
Exodus
$340 Vol.
<1%
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Grand Theft Auto VI leads The Game Awards 2026 Game of the Year market at 66% implied probability, driven by its immense cultural anticipation and Rockstar’s history of awards dominance. Traders see the November 19 release as positioning it for a late surge into the December 10 ceremony, even in a notably thin field where few titles have built strong critical or guild momentum. Resident Evil Requiem sits second at 12.5%, reflecting solid reception but limited upside against the frontrunner, while lower-priced options like Phantom Blade Zero and Control Resonant trail amid mixed early tracking. Upcoming factors include final reviews for late-year releases and any last-minute shifts in jury sentiment before nominations lock in.
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Volume
$46,521End Date
Dec 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Grand Theft Auto VI leads The Game Awards 2026 Game of the Year market at 66% implied probability, driven by its immense cultural anticipation and Rockstar’s history of awards dominance. Traders see the November 19 release as positioning it for a late surge into the December 10 ceremony, even in a notably thin field where few titles have built strong critical or guild momentum. Resident Evil Requiem sits second at 12.5%, reflecting solid reception but limited upside against the frontrunner, while lower-priced options like Phantom Blade Zero and Control Resonant trail amid mixed early tracking. Upcoming factors include final reviews for late-year releases and any last-minute shifts in jury sentiment before nominations lock in.
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,521End Date
Dec 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Grand Theft Auto VI leads The Game Awards 2026 Game of the Year market at 66% implied probability, driven by its immense cultural anticipation and Rockstar’s history of awards dominance. Traders see the November 19 release as positioning it for a late surge into the December 10 ceremony, even in a notably thin field where few titles have built strong critical or guild momentum. Resident Evil Requiem sits second at 12.5%, reflecting solid reception but limited upside against the frontrunner, while lower-priced options like Phantom Blade Zero and Control Resonant trail amid mixed early tracking. Upcoming factors include final reviews for late-year releases and any last-minute shifts in jury sentiment before nominations lock in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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