Recent NRG tracking pointing to a soft $20 million domestic opening for the Tom Cruise-led satirical black comedy *Digger* has shaped the evenly distributed trader sentiment across the bins. Directed by Alejandro G. Iñárritu with a reported $125 million-plus budget, the October 2 Warner Bros. release faces modest expectations typical of auteur-driven awards plays rather than event-level blockbusters, echoing the $22 million debut of *One Battle After Another*. Key variables include the October 2–4 weekend performance amid October competition, early presales launching today, and critical reception that remains untested despite CinemaCon footage buzz. Trailers have divided audiences, leaving upside potential from strong word-of-mouth or downside from muted reviews, which explains the tight clustering between sub-$17 million and $29 million-plus outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office
<17m 28%
29m+ 27%
23-26m 22%
26-29m 22%
<17m
28%
17-20m
15%
20-23m
17%
23-26m
22%
26-29m
22%
29m+
27%
<17m 28%
29m+ 27%
23-26m 22%
26-29m 22%
<17m
28%
17-20m
15%
20-23m
17%
23-26m
22%
26-29m
22%
29m+
27%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NRG tracking pointing to a soft $20 million domestic opening for the Tom Cruise-led satirical black comedy *Digger* has shaped the evenly distributed trader sentiment across the bins. Directed by Alejandro G. Iñárritu with a reported $125 million-plus budget, the October 2 Warner Bros. release faces modest expectations typical of auteur-driven awards plays rather than event-level blockbusters, echoing the $22 million debut of *One Battle After Another*. Key variables include the October 2–4 weekend performance amid October competition, early presales launching today, and critical reception that remains untested despite CinemaCon footage buzz. Trailers have divided audiences, leaving upside potential from strong word-of-mouth or downside from muted reviews, which explains the tight clustering between sub-$17 million and $29 million-plus outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions