**Pre-release tracking for the October 2 wide release positions “Verity” in the $30–40 million domestic opening range, driven by Colleen Hoover’s proven book-to-screen draw, Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson’s star power in an R-rated psychological erotic thriller, and solid early buzz from the CinemaCon first look and trailer.** Trader sentiment clusters around the mid-20s brackets because the film’s edgier tone and rating differ from the PG-13 romance hits like “It Ends With Us,” while facing direct competition from a major Warner Bros. release the same weekend. Historical comparables such as “A Simple Favor” and “The Housemaid” and the $40 million budget further temper expectations. Key near-term catalysts include final presales data, marketing push in the final ten days, and any late shifts in audience awareness before the three-day debut locks in resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office
22-25m 26%
25-28m 26%
28m+ 26%
16-19m 18%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
<16m
14%
16-19m
18%
19-22m
16%
22-25m
26%
25-28m
26%
28m+
26%
22-25m 26%
25-28m 26%
28m+ 26%
16-19m 18%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
<16m
$0 Vol.
14%
16-19m
$0 Vol.
18%
19-22m
$0 Vol.
16%
22-25m
$0 Vol.
26%
25-28m
$0 Vol.
26%
28m+
$40 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Pre-release tracking for the October 2 wide release positions “Verity” in the $30–40 million domestic opening range, driven by Colleen Hoover’s proven book-to-screen draw, Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson’s star power in an R-rated psychological erotic thriller, and solid early buzz from the CinemaCon first look and trailer.**
Trader sentiment clusters around the mid-20s brackets because the film’s edgier tone and rating differ from the PG-13 romance hits like “It Ends With Us,” while facing direct competition from a major Warner Bros. release the same weekend. Historical comparables such as “A Simple Favor” and “The Housemaid” and the $40 million budget further temper expectations. Key near-term catalysts include final presales data, marketing push in the final ten days, and any late shifts in audience awareness before the three-day debut locks in resolution.
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Pre-release tracking for the October 2 wide release positions “Verity” in the $30–40 million domestic opening range, driven by Colleen Hoover’s proven book-to-screen draw, Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson’s star power in an R-rated psychological erotic thriller, and solid early buzz from the CinemaCon first look and trailer.**
Trader sentiment clusters around the mid-20s brackets because the film’s edgier tone and rating differ from the PG-13 romance hits like “It Ends With Us,” while facing direct competition from a major Warner Bros. release the same weekend. Historical comparables such as “A Simple Favor” and “The Housemaid” and the $40 million budget further temper expectations. Key near-term catalysts include final presales data, marketing push in the final ten days, and any late shifts in audience awareness before the three-day debut locks in resolution.
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$40End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Pre-release tracking for the October 2 wide release positions “Verity” in the $30–40 million domestic opening range, driven by Colleen Hoover’s proven book-to-screen draw, Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson’s star power in an R-rated psychological erotic thriller, and solid early buzz from the CinemaCon first look and trailer.** Trader sentiment clusters around the mid-20s brackets because the film’s edgier tone and rating differ from the PG-13 romance hits like “It Ends With Us,” while facing direct competition from a major Warner Bros. release the same weekend. Historical comparables such as “A Simple Favor” and “The Housemaid” and the $40 million budget further temper expectations. Key near-term catalysts include final presales data, marketing push in the final ten days, and any late shifts in audience awareness before the three-day debut locks in resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions