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icon for Clavicular in jail by...?
Politics·Clav

Clavicular in jail by...?

icon for Clavicular in jail by...?
Politics·Clav

Clavicular in jail by...?

NEW
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,448 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$1,152 Vol.

10%

October 31

$296 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent felony charges against looksmaxxing streamer Braden Peters, known as Clavicular, have introduced fresh uncertainty into the Polymarket on whether he will receive any prison sentence by year-end.** Court records confirm charges filed September 8 in Massachusetts for rape, drugging a person for sexual intercourse, and procuring alcohol for a minor, tied to a May 2025 incident; arraignment is set for October 14. These stem from allegations first aired in a related Florida civil suit. Traders currently price a prison sentence at roughly 11%, reflecting skepticism after earlier cases—such as the alligator-shooting misdemeanor resolved via no-contest plea with probation and community service, plus misdemeanor battery—ended without incarceration. The high evidentiary bar for conviction on serious charges, combined with Clavicular’s ongoing media presence and legal representation, keeps market-implied odds low despite the gravity of the new allegations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,448
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 11:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent felony charges against looksmaxxing streamer Braden Peters, known as Clavicular, have introduced fresh uncertainty into the Polymarket on whether he will receive any prison sentence by year-end.** Court records confirm charges filed September 8 in Massachusetts for rape, drugging a person for sexual intercourse, and procuring alcohol for a minor, tied to a May 2025 incident; arraignment is set for October 14. These stem from allegations first aired in a related Florida civil suit. Traders currently price a prison sentence at roughly 11%, reflecting skepticism after earlier cases—such as the alligator-shooting misdemeanor resolved via no-contest plea with probation and community service, plus misdemeanor battery—ended without incarceration. The high evidentiary bar for conviction on serious charges, combined with Clavicular’s ongoing media presence and legal representation, keeps market-implied odds low despite the gravity of the new allegations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,448
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 11:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Clavicular in jail by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "October 31" at 23%, followed by "September 30" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Clavicular in jail by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Clavicular in jail by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Clavicular in jail by...?" is "October 31" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Clavicular in jail by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.