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icon for Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

180-199 20%

200-219 20%

160-179 16%

220-239 16%

Polymarket
NEW

$27,270 Vol.

180-199 20%

200-219 20%

160-179 16%

220-239 16%

Polymarket
NEW

$27,270 Vol.

<20

$1,200 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$156 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$156 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$5,201 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$15 Vol.

1%

100-119

$515 Vol.

1%

120-139

$1,146 Vol.

3%

140-159

$150 Vol.

8%

160-179

$1,289 Vol.

16%

180-199

$1,712 Vol.

20%

200-219

$1,002 Vol.

20%

220-239

$39 Vol.

16%

240-259

$49 Vol.

12%

260-279

$39 Vol.

6%

280-299

$39 Vol.

3%

300-319

$54 Vol.

2%

320-339

$15 Vol.

2%

340-359

$15 Vol.

1%

360-379

$15 Vol.

1%

380-399

$15 Vol.

1%

400-419

$15 Vol.

1%

420-439

$15 Vol.

1%

440-459

$15 Vol.

1%

460-479

$4,801 Vol.

1%

480-499

$4,801 Vol.

1%

500+

$4,801 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 25 12:00 PM ET to October 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent resolutions show Elon Musk maintaining a steady posting pace of roughly 23–27 posts per day, landing weekly totals in the low-to-mid 180s as seen in the September 8–15 window. Trader consensus around the 180–219 brackets reflects this established baseline on X, where activity clusters without major spikes or lulls in the absence of breaking news. The Tesla Roadster reveal scheduled for October 1 within the resolution period stands as the clearest near-term catalyst that could lift volume modestly above recent norms. Broader patterns indicate consistent engagement tied to company updates and public commentary, with limited upside for extreme outliers given the short seven-day window and lack of overlapping high-stakes events.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 25 12:00 PM ET to October 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 25 12:00 PM ET to October 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$27,270
End Date
Oct 2, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 25 12:00 PM ET to October 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent resolutions show Elon Musk maintaining a steady posting pace of roughly 23–27 posts per day, landing weekly totals in the low-to-mid 180s as seen in the September 8–15 window. Trader consensus around the 180–219 brackets reflects this established baseline on X, where activity clusters without major spikes or lulls in the absence of breaking news. The Tesla Roadster reveal scheduled for October 1 within the resolution period stands as the clearest near-term catalyst that could lift volume modestly above recent norms. Broader patterns indicate consistent engagement tied to company updates and public commentary, with limited upside for extreme outliers given the short seven-day window and lack of overlapping high-stakes events.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 25 12:00 PM ET to October 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 25 12:00 PM ET to October 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$27,270
End Date
Oct 2, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "180-199" at 20%, followed by "200-219" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?" has generated $27.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?" is "180-199" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "200-219" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.