Elon Musk's posting pace on X during the week of September 15-22, 2026, has settled into a steady rhythm of roughly 40-60 posts per day, positioning the 200-219 and 220-239 ranges as the clear market leaders with combined implied probability near 95%. Recent data from account analytics show cumulative post counts rising by 40-58 daily in the preceding days, reflecting consistent engagement around AI model updates like Grok 4.7, SpaceX milestones, and platform commentary rather than the election-driven surges that previously pushed weekly totals above 900. With no major breaking events or political spikes reported in the period, traders appear to view his current cadence—well below 2024 peaks but above quieter stretches—as the most probable outcome, with only slim odds assigned to higher-volume scenarios that would require an abrupt acceleration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 56%
220-239 39%
240-259 4.3%
260-279 <1%
$1,776,440 Vol.
$1,776,440 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
200-219
56%
220-239
39%
240-259
4%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 56%
220-239 39%
240-259 4.3%
260-279 <1%
$1,776,440 Vol.
$1,776,440 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
200-219
$116,649 Vol.
56%
220-239
$140,975 Vol.
39%
240-259
$117,889 Vol.
4%
260-279
$119,952 Vol.
1%
280-299
$119,585 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$110,150 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$62,153 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$51,992 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$36,275 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$28,275 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$29,138 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$22,799 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$15,753 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$9,992 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$10,570 Vol.
<1%
500+
$46,359 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace on X during the week of September 15-22, 2026, has settled into a steady rhythm of roughly 40-60 posts per day, positioning the 200-219 and 220-239 ranges as the clear market leaders with combined implied probability near 95%. Recent data from account analytics show cumulative post counts rising by 40-58 daily in the preceding days, reflecting consistent engagement around AI model updates like Grok 4.7, SpaceX milestones, and platform commentary rather than the election-driven surges that previously pushed weekly totals above 900. With no major breaking events or political spikes reported in the period, traders appear to view his current cadence—well below 2024 peaks but above quieter stretches—as the most probable outcome, with only slim odds assigned to higher-volume scenarios that would require an abrupt acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,776,440End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace on X during the week of September 15-22, 2026, has settled into a steady rhythm of roughly 40-60 posts per day, positioning the 200-219 and 220-239 ranges as the clear market leaders with combined implied probability near 95%. Recent data from account analytics show cumulative post counts rising by 40-58 daily in the preceding days, reflecting consistent engagement around AI model updates like Grok 4.7, SpaceX milestones, and platform commentary rather than the election-driven surges that previously pushed weekly totals above 900. With no major breaking events or political spikes reported in the period, traders appear to view his current cadence—well below 2024 peaks but above quieter stretches—as the most probable outcome, with only slim odds assigned to higher-volume scenarios that would require an abrupt acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,776,440End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's posting pace on X during the week of September 15-22, 2026, has settled into a steady rhythm of roughly 40-60 posts per day, positioning the 200-219 and 220-239 ranges as the clear market leaders with combined implied probability near 95%. Recent data from account analytics show cumulative post counts rising by 40-58 daily in the preceding days, reflecting consistent engagement around AI model updates like Grok 4.7, SpaceX milestones, and platform commentary rather than the election-driven surges that previously pushed weekly totals above 900. With no major breaking events or political spikes reported in the period, traders appear to view his current cadence—well below 2024 peaks but above quieter stretches—as the most probable outcome, with only slim odds assigned to higher-volume scenarios that would require an abrupt acceleration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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