**Musk’s consistent posting cadence of roughly 20–25 posts per day—encompassing originals, quotes, and reposts—anchors trader sentiment around the 180–219 brackets for the September 18–25 window.** Recent resolved markets show weekly totals clustering tightly in the low-to-mid 180s, including 186 posts from September 8–15 and similar figures in prior periods, reflecting steady engagement on X platform metrics, xAI developments, and Tesla commentary rather than event-driven spikes. With the current tracker at a modest pace early in the window and no imminent catalysts like major product launches or breaking policy news, the market prices in this established baseline while acknowledging room for modest variance from daily fluctuations or quiet stretches. The closely matched 180–199 and 200–219 outcomes highlight how small differences in remaining daily volume could decide the outcome before the September 25 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 31%
200-219 27%
160-179 15%
220-239 13%
$485,299 Vol.
$485,299 Vol.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
6%
160-179
15%
180-199
31%
200-219
27%
220-239
13%
240-259
7%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 31%
200-219 27%
160-179 15%
220-239 13%
$485,299 Vol.
$485,299 Vol.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
6%
160-179
15%
180-199
31%
200-219
27%
220-239
13%
240-259
7%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Musk’s consistent posting cadence of roughly 20–25 posts per day—encompassing originals, quotes, and reposts—anchors trader sentiment around the 180–219 brackets for the September 18–25 window.** Recent resolved markets show weekly totals clustering tightly in the low-to-mid 180s, including 186 posts from September 8–15 and similar figures in prior periods, reflecting steady engagement on X platform metrics, xAI developments, and Tesla commentary rather than event-driven spikes. With the current tracker at a modest pace early in the window and no imminent catalysts like major product launches or breaking policy news, the market prices in this established baseline while acknowledging room for modest variance from daily fluctuations or quiet stretches. The closely matched 180–199 and 200–219 outcomes highlight how small differences in remaining daily volume could decide the outcome before the September 25 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions