Stella Lefty’s “Boston” commands 91.5% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100’s No. 2 spot in the week of October 3 because it has held that exact position for multiple recent frames behind Ella Langley’s record-setting “Choosin’ Texas.” The track’s TikTok-driven breakout, country-pop crossover airplay, and steady streaming have produced durable top-five traction with minimal competition from other releases. Langley’s additional singles, plus tracks from Taylor Swift, Ariana Grande, and Morgan Wallen, sit at just 3% odds, reflecting their current lower chart velocity. An upset would require “Choosin’ Texas” to finally tumble while a new single posts outsized gains in the final tracking week, a scenario traders view as unlikely given the established momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 3
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 3
Boston - Stella Lefty 92%
Be Her - Ella Langley 3.0%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 3.0%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 3.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 29, 2026
Boston - Stella Lefty
92%
Be Her - Ella Langley
3%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
3%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
3%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
3%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
3%
Boston - Stella Lefty 92%
Be Her - Ella Langley 3.0%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 3.0%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 3.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 29, 2026
Boston - Stella Lefty
$103 Vol.
92%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$0 Vol.
3%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$0 Vol.
3%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$0 Vol.
3%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$0 Vol.
3%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$0 Vol.
3%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of October 3, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Stella Lefty’s “Boston” commands 91.5% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100’s No. 2 spot in the week of October 3 because it has held that exact position for multiple recent frames behind Ella Langley’s record-setting “Choosin’ Texas.” The track’s TikTok-driven breakout, country-pop crossover airplay, and steady streaming have produced durable top-five traction with minimal competition from other releases. Langley’s additional singles, plus tracks from Taylor Swift, Ariana Grande, and Morgan Wallen, sit at just 3% odds, reflecting their current lower chart velocity. An upset would require “Choosin’ Texas” to finally tumble while a new single posts outsized gains in the final tracking week, a scenario traders view as unlikely given the established momentum.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of October 3, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of October 3, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$103End Date
Sep 29, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of October 3, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Stella Lefty’s “Boston” commands 91.5% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100’s No. 2 spot in the week of October 3 because it has held that exact position for multiple recent frames behind Ella Langley’s record-setting “Choosin’ Texas.” The track’s TikTok-driven breakout, country-pop crossover airplay, and steady streaming have produced durable top-five traction with minimal competition from other releases. Langley’s additional singles, plus tracks from Taylor Swift, Ariana Grande, and Morgan Wallen, sit at just 3% odds, reflecting their current lower chart velocity. An upset would require “Choosin’ Texas” to finally tumble while a new single posts outsized gains in the final tracking week, a scenario traders view as unlikely given the established momentum.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of October 3, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of October 3, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$103End Date
Sep 29, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stella Lefty’s “Boston” commands 91.5% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100’s No. 2 spot in the week of October 3 because it has held that exact position for multiple recent frames behind Ella Langley’s record-setting “Choosin’ Texas.” The track’s TikTok-driven breakout, country-pop crossover airplay, and steady streaming have produced durable top-five traction with minimal competition from other releases. Langley’s additional singles, plus tracks from Taylor Swift, Ariana Grande, and Morgan Wallen, sit at just 3% odds, reflecting their current lower chart velocity. An upset would require “Choosin’ Texas” to finally tumble while a new single posts outsized gains in the final tracking week, a scenario traders view as unlikely given the established momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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