**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** enters its eighth weekend with trader consensus tightly clustered around a $5–6 million domestic gross, reflecting the film’s steepening decline after seven weeks in release. The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed Marvel title posted a record $360 million opening in late July but has followed the typical blockbuster trajectory, dropping from $18.2 million in its sixth weekend to $8.4 million in the seventh amid a reduced theater count near 3,300 screens. Strong early word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and its status as 2026’s highest-grossing release (now past $937 million domestic) have sustained it longer than most superhero films, yet natural audience fatigue and newer competition are pressuring holds. Key swing factors for this frame include any late-weekend boosts from premium formats or family audiences, with historical patterns for similar tentpoles suggesting further erosion unless a surprise re-release or marketing push intervenes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office
5.5-6m 34%
5-5.5m 33%
6m+ 23%
4.5-5m 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
<4m
7%
4-4.5m
3%
4.5-5m
16%
5-5.5m
33%
5.5-6m
34%
6m+
23%
5.5-6m 34%
5-5.5m 33%
6m+ 23%
4.5-5m 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
<4m
$333 Vol.
7%
4-4.5m
$190 Vol.
3%
4.5-5m
$264 Vol.
16%
5-5.5m
$529 Vol.
33%
5.5-6m
$491 Vol.
34%
6m+
$362 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** enters its eighth weekend with trader consensus tightly clustered around a $5–6 million domestic gross, reflecting the film’s steepening decline after seven weeks in release. The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed Marvel title posted a record $360 million opening in late July but has followed the typical blockbuster trajectory, dropping from $18.2 million in its sixth weekend to $8.4 million in the seventh amid a reduced theater count near 3,300 screens. Strong early word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and its status as 2026’s highest-grossing release (now past $937 million domestic) have sustained it longer than most superhero films, yet natural audience fatigue and newer competition are pressuring holds. Key swing factors for this frame include any late-weekend boosts from premium formats or family audiences, with historical patterns for similar tentpoles suggesting further erosion unless a surprise re-release or marketing push intervenes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$2,169End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** enters its eighth weekend with trader consensus tightly clustered around a $5–6 million domestic gross, reflecting the film’s steepening decline after seven weeks in release. The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed Marvel title posted a record $360 million opening in late July but has followed the typical blockbuster trajectory, dropping from $18.2 million in its sixth weekend to $8.4 million in the seventh amid a reduced theater count near 3,300 screens. Strong early word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and its status as 2026’s highest-grossing release (now past $937 million domestic) have sustained it longer than most superhero films, yet natural audience fatigue and newer competition are pressuring holds. Key swing factors for this frame include any late-weekend boosts from premium formats or family audiences, with historical patterns for similar tentpoles suggesting further erosion unless a surprise re-release or marketing push intervenes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,169End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** enters its eighth weekend with trader consensus tightly clustered around a $5–6 million domestic gross, reflecting the film’s steepening decline after seven weeks in release. The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed Marvel title posted a record $360 million opening in late July but has followed the typical blockbuster trajectory, dropping from $18.2 million in its sixth weekend to $8.4 million in the seventh amid a reduced theater count near 3,300 screens. Strong early word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and its status as 2026’s highest-grossing release (now past $937 million domestic) have sustained it longer than most superhero films, yet natural audience fatigue and newer competition are pressuring holds. Key swing factors for this frame include any late-weekend boosts from premium formats or family audiences, with historical patterns for similar tentpoles suggesting further erosion unless a surprise re-release or marketing push intervenes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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