**You Can See Everything** has surged to frontrunner status at 62% implied probability on the strength of its record-breaking box office performance for a documentary, near-universal critical acclaim, and dominant showing in early precursors. The A24 release, directed by Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim, swept multiple Critics Choice Documentary Awards including Best Documentary Feature and led the Cinema Eye Honors with seven nominations announced November 12. NAZA sits second at 22% after festival wins and strong guild-adjacent nods, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem and several others hover in single digits. With the Oscar shortlist still weeks away in December and nominations not until January, traders are pricing in the film’s cultural momentum while leaving room for the documentary branch’s historical preference for more traditional approaches to shift the field.