The 2027 Oscars Best Documentary Feature race remains wide open this early in the cycle, with trader sentiment reflecting high uncertainty and no dominant frontrunner yet. Implied probabilities cluster around even odds for most contenders because 2026 releases are only beginning to screen at festivals and generate early critical or guild buzz. Films like Once Upon a Time in Harlem and American Doctor hold modest edges on the back of timely subjects and initial industry chatter, while others such as One in a Million and Tutu trail on narrower awareness. Key swing factors ahead include fall festival premieres, precursor awards from critics circles and guilds like the DGA or PGA, and streaming performance metrics that historically shape academy voter sentiment in this category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 15%
American Doctor 12%
One in a Million 6%
Tutu 4.6%
$24,453 Vol.
$24,453 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
15%
American Doctor
12%
One in a Million
6%
Tutu
5%
Musk
4%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
4%
Nuisance Bear
2%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 15%
American Doctor 12%
One in a Million 6%
Tutu 4.6%
$24,453 Vol.
$24,453 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
$2,095 Vol.
15%
American Doctor
$11,671 Vol.
12%
One in a Million
$2,139 Vol.
6%
Tutu
$699 Vol.
5%
Musk
$51 Vol.
4%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
$139 Vol.
4%
Nuisance Bear
$7,659 Vol.
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Oscars Best Documentary Feature race remains wide open this early in the cycle, with trader sentiment reflecting high uncertainty and no dominant frontrunner yet. Implied probabilities cluster around even odds for most contenders because 2026 releases are only beginning to screen at festivals and generate early critical or guild buzz. Films like Once Upon a Time in Harlem and American Doctor hold modest edges on the back of timely subjects and initial industry chatter, while others such as One in a Million and Tutu trail on narrower awareness. Key swing factors ahead include fall festival premieres, precursor awards from critics circles and guilds like the DGA or PGA, and streaming performance metrics that historically shape academy voter sentiment in this category.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$24,453End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Oscars Best Documentary Feature race remains wide open this early in the cycle, with trader sentiment reflecting high uncertainty and no dominant frontrunner yet. Implied probabilities cluster around even odds for most contenders because 2026 releases are only beginning to screen at festivals and generate early critical or guild buzz. Films like Once Upon a Time in Harlem and American Doctor hold modest edges on the back of timely subjects and initial industry chatter, while others such as One in a Million and Tutu trail on narrower awareness. Key swing factors ahead include fall festival premieres, precursor awards from critics circles and guilds like the DGA or PGA, and streaming performance metrics that historically shape academy voter sentiment in this category.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,453End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Oscars Best Documentary Feature race remains wide open this early in the cycle, with trader sentiment reflecting high uncertainty and no dominant frontrunner yet. Implied probabilities cluster around even odds for most contenders because 2026 releases are only beginning to screen at festivals and generate early critical or guild buzz. Films like Once Upon a Time in Harlem and American Doctor hold modest edges on the back of timely subjects and initial industry chatter, while others such as One in a Million and Tutu trail on narrower awareness. Key swing factors ahead include fall festival premieres, precursor awards from critics circles and guilds like the DGA or PGA, and streaming performance metrics that historically shape academy voter sentiment in this category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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