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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

icon for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Kamala Harris 9.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.8%

Jon Ossoff 6.3%

Polymarket

$1,138,977,991 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Kamala Harris 9.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.8%

Jon Ossoff 6.3%

Polymarket

$1,138,977,991 Vol.

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$25,094,598 Vol.

24%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$11,568,680 Vol.

9%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$12,821,821 Vol.

9%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$11,101,609 Vol.

6%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$7,999,321 Vol.

5%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$10,485,437 Vol.

4%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$11,882,884 Vol.

3%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$13,500,702 Vol.

3%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$15,051,084 Vol.

2%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$9,177,516 Vol.

2%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$10,163,844 Vol.

2%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$14,189,585 Vol.

2%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$24,805,483 Vol.

1%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$22,858,832 Vol.

1%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$15,954,537 Vol.

1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$9,185,100 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$11,638,547 Vol.

1%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$20,217,079 Vol.

1%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$29,177,260 Vol.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$23,851,580 Vol.

1%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$19,225,480 Vol.

1%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$21,643,895 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$48,443,651 Vol.

1%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$50,697,644 Vol.

1%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$28,574,385 Vol.

1%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$29,436,985 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$49,237,370 Vol.

1%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$35,792,708 Vol.

1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$35,763,344 Vol.

1%

icon for Ruben Gallego

Ruben Gallego

$6,447,923 Vol.

1%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$25,085,979 Vol.

1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$41,359,925 Vol.

1%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$37,710,213 Vol.

1%

icon for Chris Murphy

Chris Murphy

$15,228,261 Vol.

1%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$31,327,000 Vol.

1%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$40,115,747 Vol.

1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$40,129,104 Vol.

1%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$38,846,510 Vol.

1%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$45,549,820 Vol.

1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$39,407,522 Vol.

1%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$39,144,184 Vol.

1%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$34,973,229 Vol.

1%

icon for Jasmine Crockett

Jasmine Crockett

$33,436,088 Vol.

1%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$40,680,185 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket places California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear frontrunner at 24.1% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his national profile as a sharp Trump critic, strong fundraising, and executive experience in the nation's largest state amid a post-2024 loss soul-searching. Kamala Harris trails at 9% due to electability concerns from her recent defeat, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's 8.8% captures progressive enthusiasm but highlights general-election risks. Recent polls like AtlasIntel's May 12 survey show volatility with AOC briefly leading Democrats, yet traders prioritize Newsom's moderate appeal and path through 2026 midterms, where gubernatorial successes for him, Josh Shapiro, or Gretchen Whitmer could consolidate support via endorsements and momentum.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,138,977,991
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket places California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear frontrunner at 24.1% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his national profile as a sharp Trump critic, strong fundraising, and executive experience in the nation's largest state amid a post-2024 loss soul-searching. Kamala Harris trails at 9% due to electability concerns from her recent defeat, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's 8.8% captures progressive enthusiasm but highlights general-election risks. Recent polls like AtlasIntel's May 12 survey show volatility with AOC briefly leading Democrats, yet traders prioritize Newsom's moderate appeal and path through 2026 midterms, where gubernatorial successes for him, Josh Shapiro, or Gretchen Whitmer could consolidate support via endorsements and momentum.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,138,977,991
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Kamala Harris" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $1.1 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kamala Harris" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.