The 2028 Democratic presidential field remains wide open nearly two years before the primaries, with trader consensus showing a tightly bunched group of leading contenders and no single figure exceeding 19 percent implied probability. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, and Jon Ossoff occupy the top spots, reflecting the party's ongoing search for a candidate who can unify diverse factions after the prior cycle. This dispersion arises from the lack of decisive national polling trends, primary contests, or major endorsements that historically consolidate support. Developments such as strong midterm or special-election results, shifts in Senate or gubernatorial visibility, and early coalition-building efforts could begin to create separation among the current leaders.
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