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Vance predictions & odds

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JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

28%

June 30

$98.1K Vol.

$37.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

10

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

19%

$55.3K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$579M Vol.

$2M today

$30M Liq.

907

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

37%

J.D. Vance

$616M Vol.

$953K today

$30M Liq.

389

Ends in over 2 years

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

100%

Elon Musk

$234K Vol.

$185K today

$165K Liq.

13

Ends in 3 days

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

<1%

Street

$265K Vol.

$123K today

$440K Liq.

31

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

21%

Jared Kushner

$79.0K Vol.

$67.9K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

56%

Steve Witkoff

$1M Vol.

$106K Liq.

70

Ends in about 2 months

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

26%

Don Lemon

$639K Vol.

$685K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

66%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$95.9K Vol.

$67.8K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$387K Vol.

$126K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

94%

Hakeem Jeffries

$7.5K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$11.4K Vol.

$39.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

32%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$7.3K Vol.

$303K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Cordoba: Ryan Dickerson vs Nicolas Kicker

Cordoba: Ryan Dickerson vs Nicolas Kicker

81%

Nicolas Kicker

$1.4K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

ITF Vic: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Ryan Nijboer

ITF Vic: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Ryan Nijboer

50%

Alberto Barroso Campos

$0 Vol.

$275 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby

$8.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

100%

Aurora

$3M Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 126 active markets for Vance that lets you track or trade on predictions like “JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 37% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Vance predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.