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icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$82,559 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$82,559 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$1,835 Vol.

90%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$545 Vol.

85%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$310 Vol.

70%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$513 Vol.

70%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$2,203 Vol.

65%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$2,239 Vol.

65%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$5,665 Vol.

64%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$3,198 Vol.

64%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$276 Vol.

53%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$2,424 Vol.

60%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$991 Vol.

57%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$332 Vol.

59%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$501 Vol.

59%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$220 Vol.

63%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$3,463 Vol.

53%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$170 Vol.

53%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$80 Vol.

37%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$130 Vol.

37%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$121 Vol.

35%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$2,179 Vol.

33%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$468 Vol.

33%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$451 Vol.

29%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$835 Vol.

28%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$4,283 Vol.

28%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$260 Vol.

26%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$1,824 Vol.

26%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$262 Vol.

26%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$64 Vol.

24%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$252 Vol.

23%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$665 Vol.

22%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$80 Vol.

22%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$1,221 Vol.

21%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

20%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$811 Vol.

19%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$221 Vol.

19%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$719 Vol.

18%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$1,753 Vol.

18%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$3,242 Vol.

18%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$2,101 Vol.

18%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

17%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$1,031 Vol.

17%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

16%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$203 Vol.

16%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$968 Vol.

16%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$667 Vol.

16%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$1,144 Vol.

16%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$2,046 Vol.

15%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$40 Vol.

15%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

15%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$4,522 Vol.

15%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$1,118 Vol.

14%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$3,650 Vol.

14%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$606 Vol.

14%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$20 Vol.

14%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$1,660 Vol.

14%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$1,946 Vol.

14%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$20 Vol.

13%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$40 Vol.

13%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$99 Vol.

13%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$171 Vol.

11%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$104 Vol.

11%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$1,503 Vol.

11%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$120 Vol.

11%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$4,335 Vol.

10%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$1,832 Vol.

9%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$2,561 Vol.

9%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$4,597 Vol.

4%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$628 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2028 presidential field remains wide open, with no major-party contenders having formally declared as of September 2026. Minor candidates including Dan Greaney and Royce White have announced or filed with the FEC, while exploratory steps have been taken by others such as Gregory Bovino. Leading prospects like JD Vance, Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Marco Rubio continue positioning through polling leads, early-state travel, and public signals. Recent developments include Newsom stating he would not challenge Harris and Rubio indicating no current plans, alongside Buttigieg expressing greater openness to a bid. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent primary calendar shifts are expected to accelerate announcements, with trader focus on timing, frontrunner consolidation, and structural barriers like term limits.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82,559
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2028 presidential field remains wide open, with no major-party contenders having formally declared as of September 2026. Minor candidates including Dan Greaney and Royce White have announced or filed with the FEC, while exploratory steps have been taken by others such as Gregory Bovino. Leading prospects like JD Vance, Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Marco Rubio continue positioning through polling leads, early-state travel, and public signals. Recent developments include Newsom stating he would not challenge Harris and Rubio indicating no current plans, alongside Buttigieg expressing greater openness to a bid. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent primary calendar shifts are expected to accelerate announcements, with trader focus on timing, frontrunner consolidation, and structural barriers like term limits.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82,559
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 90%, followed by "Pete Buttigieg" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" has generated $82.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is "J.D. Vance" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pete Buttigieg" at 85%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.