Trump's commanding Republican majorities in Congress, with no active impeachment proceedings or 25th Amendment invocations, anchor trader consensus at 88.5% for "No" on early departure before 2027. Recent April discussions of impeachment over Iran rhetoric threats fizzled without House votes or GOP defections, while reports of potential cabinet firings like Attorney General Pam Bondi reflect routine administration churn rather than instability. No verified health crises, resignations, or legal rulings have emerged in the past 30 days to shift sentiment. Upcoming midterms could alter congressional math, but historical precedents show incumbents rarely exit early absent extraordinary catalysts like scandals or incapacity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$8,439,050 Vol.
$8,439,050 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$8,439,050 Vol.
$8,439,050 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's commanding Republican majorities in Congress, with no active impeachment proceedings or 25th Amendment invocations, anchor trader consensus at 88.5% for "No" on early departure before 2027. Recent April discussions of impeachment over Iran rhetoric threats fizzled without House votes or GOP defections, while reports of potential cabinet firings like Attorney General Pam Bondi reflect routine administration churn rather than instability. No verified health crises, resignations, or legal rulings have emerged in the past 30 days to shift sentiment. Upcoming midterms could alter congressional math, but historical precedents show incumbents rarely exit early absent extraordinary catalysts like scandals or incapacity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$8,439,050End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's commanding Republican majorities in Congress, with no active impeachment proceedings or 25th Amendment invocations, anchor trader consensus at 88.5% for "No" on early departure before 2027. Recent April discussions of impeachment over Iran rhetoric threats fizzled without House votes or GOP defections, while reports of potential cabinet firings like Attorney General Pam Bondi reflect routine administration churn rather than instability. No verified health crises, resignations, or legal rulings have emerged in the past 30 days to shift sentiment. Upcoming midterms could alter congressional math, but historical precedents show incumbents rarely exit early absent extraordinary catalysts like scandals or incapacity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,439,050End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's commanding Republican majorities in Congress, with no active impeachment proceedings or 25th Amendment invocations, anchor trader consensus at 88.5% for "No" on early departure before 2027. Recent April discussions of impeachment over Iran rhetoric threats fizzled without House votes or GOP defections, while reports of potential cabinet firings like Attorney General Pam Bondi reflect routine administration churn rather than instability. No verified health crises, resignations, or legal rulings have emerged in the past 30 days to shift sentiment. Upcoming midterms could alter congressional math, but historical precedents show incumbents rarely exit early absent extraordinary catalysts like scandals or incapacity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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