President Donald Trump remains in office as of mid-August 2026, actively issuing executive orders and proclamations during his term ending in January 2029. Earlier 2026 calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, prompted by statements on Iran policy and related conflicts, led to limited resolutions that were tabled without advancing to removal. Republican majorities in Congress have shown no sustained support for conviction or cabinet action under constitutional processes, while no verified health, resignation, or incapacity developments have altered his status. Trader consensus at 94.5% for "No" aligns with these structural barriers and the absence of recent catalysts capable of shifting removal probabilities before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6% chance
$10,705,228 Vol.
$10,705,228 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% chance
$10,705,228 Vol.
$10,705,228 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump remains in office as of mid-August 2026, actively issuing executive orders and proclamations during his term ending in January 2029. Earlier 2026 calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, prompted by statements on Iran policy and related conflicts, led to limited resolutions that were tabled without advancing to removal. Republican majorities in Congress have shown no sustained support for conviction or cabinet action under constitutional processes, while no verified health, resignation, or incapacity developments have altered his status. Trader consensus at 94.5% for "No" aligns with these structural barriers and the absence of recent catalysts capable of shifting removal probabilities before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,705,228End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump remains in office as of mid-August 2026, actively issuing executive orders and proclamations during his term ending in January 2029. Earlier 2026 calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, prompted by statements on Iran policy and related conflicts, led to limited resolutions that were tabled without advancing to removal. Republican majorities in Congress have shown no sustained support for conviction or cabinet action under constitutional processes, while no verified health, resignation, or incapacity developments have altered his status. Trader consensus at 94.5% for "No" aligns with these structural barriers and the absence of recent catalysts capable of shifting removal probabilities before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,705,228End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump remains in office as of mid-August 2026, actively issuing executive orders and proclamations during his term ending in January 2029. Earlier 2026 calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, prompted by statements on Iran policy and related conflicts, led to limited resolutions that were tabled without advancing to removal. Republican majorities in Congress have shown no sustained support for conviction or cabinet action under constitutional processes, while no verified health, resignation, or incapacity developments have altered his status. Trader consensus at 94.5% for "No" aligns with these structural barriers and the absence of recent catalysts capable of shifting removal probabilities before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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