President Trump's second term, running through January 2029, features no verified health issues, public resignation signals, or bipartisan support for invoking the 25th Amendment. Traders assign only a 4% chance of resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the steep constitutional thresholds for removal—House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate vote—or voluntary departure absent acute pressure. Recent cabinet turnover and isolated Democratic calls for accountability have not generated institutional momentum, consistent with historical patterns of presidential continuity even amid midterm shifts. Speculation around post-2026 electoral losses or fatigue remains unanchored by primary evidence. Late developments such as a sudden medical event, major scandal with cross-party consensus, or unexpected legal ruling could still alter trajectories before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4% chance
$23,403 Vol.
$23,403 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% chance
$23,403 Vol.
$23,403 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's second term, running through January 2029, features no verified health issues, public resignation signals, or bipartisan support for invoking the 25th Amendment. Traders assign only a 4% chance of resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the steep constitutional thresholds for removal—House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate vote—or voluntary departure absent acute pressure. Recent cabinet turnover and isolated Democratic calls for accountability have not generated institutional momentum, consistent with historical patterns of presidential continuity even amid midterm shifts. Speculation around post-2026 electoral losses or fatigue remains unanchored by primary evidence. Late developments such as a sudden medical event, major scandal with cross-party consensus, or unexpected legal ruling could still alter trajectories before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$23,403End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's second term, running through January 2029, features no verified health issues, public resignation signals, or bipartisan support for invoking the 25th Amendment. Traders assign only a 4% chance of resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the steep constitutional thresholds for removal—House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate vote—or voluntary departure absent acute pressure. Recent cabinet turnover and isolated Democratic calls for accountability have not generated institutional momentum, consistent with historical patterns of presidential continuity even amid midterm shifts. Speculation around post-2026 electoral losses or fatigue remains unanchored by primary evidence. Late developments such as a sudden medical event, major scandal with cross-party consensus, or unexpected legal ruling could still alter trajectories before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,403End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's second term, running through January 2029, features no verified health issues, public resignation signals, or bipartisan support for invoking the 25th Amendment. Traders assign only a 4% chance of resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the steep constitutional thresholds for removal—House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate vote—or voluntary departure absent acute pressure. Recent cabinet turnover and isolated Democratic calls for accountability have not generated institutional momentum, consistent with historical patterns of presidential continuity even amid midterm shifts. Speculation around post-2026 electoral losses or fatigue remains unanchored by primary evidence. Late developments such as a sudden medical event, major scandal with cross-party consensus, or unexpected legal ruling could still alter trajectories before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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