Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5¢ on President Trump's resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official statements, health crises, or impeachment pressures indicating an early exit midway through his second term. Recent high-profile administration turnovers, including FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's abrupt resignation on May 12 amid internal chaos and U.S. Border Patrol Chief Michael Banks' departure over policy disputes, underscore staffing shake-ups typical of Trump's executive operations but do not signal presidential instability. Earlier partisan speculation, such as strategist James Carville's March prediction of a frustrated resignation and minor April health rumors involving bruised hands, remains unsubstantiated without primary evidence. With 2026 midterms looming in November—potentially ushering lame-duck dynamics—traders see scant catalysts for voluntary departure barring unforeseen scandals, legal rulings, or personal health events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5¢ on President Trump's resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official statements, health crises, or impeachment pressures indicating an early exit midway through his second term. Recent high-profile administration turnovers, including FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's abrupt resignation on May 12 amid internal chaos and U.S. Border Patrol Chief Michael Banks' departure over policy disputes, underscore staffing shake-ups typical of Trump's executive operations but do not signal presidential instability. Earlier partisan speculation, such as strategist James Carville's March prediction of a frustrated resignation and minor April health rumors involving bruised hands, remains unsubstantiated without primary evidence. With 2026 midterms looming in November—potentially ushering lame-duck dynamics—traders see scant catalysts for voluntary departure barring unforeseen scandals, legal rulings, or personal health events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$431,570End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5¢ on President Trump's resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official statements, health crises, or impeachment pressures indicating an early exit midway through his second term. Recent high-profile administration turnovers, including FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's abrupt resignation on May 12 amid internal chaos and U.S. Border Patrol Chief Michael Banks' departure over policy disputes, underscore staffing shake-ups typical of Trump's executive operations but do not signal presidential instability. Earlier partisan speculation, such as strategist James Carville's March prediction of a frustrated resignation and minor April health rumors involving bruised hands, remains unsubstantiated without primary evidence. With 2026 midterms looming in November—potentially ushering lame-duck dynamics—traders see scant catalysts for voluntary departure barring unforeseen scandals, legal rulings, or personal health events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$431,570End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5¢ on President Trump's resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official statements, health crises, or impeachment pressures indicating an early exit midway through his second term. Recent high-profile administration turnovers, including FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's abrupt resignation on May 12 amid internal chaos and U.S. Border Patrol Chief Michael Banks' departure over policy disputes, underscore staffing shake-ups typical of Trump's executive operations but do not signal presidential instability. Earlier partisan speculation, such as strategist James Carville's March prediction of a frustrated resignation and minor April health rumors involving bruised hands, remains unsubstantiated without primary evidence. With 2026 midterms looming in November—potentially ushering lame-duck dynamics—traders see scant catalysts for voluntary departure barring unforeseen scandals, legal rulings, or personal health events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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