Traders assign the highest probabilities to Democrats securing 5 to 7 House seats in Ohio’s 15 districts, reflecting a handful of competitive contests shaped by the new redistricting map enacted through bipartisan compromise. Incumbents Greg Landsman in the 1st and Marcy Kaptur in the 9th face adjusted boundaries that alter partisan leans, while toss-up or lean ratings apply to districts such as the 7th and others in southwest Ohio. A national generic ballot advantage for Democrats, averaging roughly eight points in recent surveys, has prompted analysts to downgrade several previously safe Republican seats to likely or competitive status. These factors, combined with historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party, underpin the current distribution of implied probabilities centered on modest Democratic gains rather than larger swings.