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Starmer predictions & odds

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Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

78%

December 31

$23M Vol.

$2M today

$424K Liq.

1,444

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

22%

$8.7K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

84%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$32.5K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

16

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

44%

Petro - Colombia President

$277K Vol.

$154K today

$281K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

100%

Xi Jinping

$569K Vol.

$52.2K today

$192K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

100%

Xi Jinping

$466K Vol.

$206K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Who will Trump meet with in May?

100%

Xi Jinping

$340K Vol.

$113K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

66%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$95.9K Vol.

$64.5K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

92%

Elon Musk

$7.9K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

57%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$465 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

38%

80-99

$6.9K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.3K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K Vol.

17

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

77%

June 30

$65.4K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$752K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

14

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - More Markets

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - More Markets

-

$1.6K Vol.

Legends Cricket League: Konark Suryas Odisha vs Southern Super Stars

Legends Cricket League: Konark Suryas Odisha vs Southern Super Stars

100%

Konark Suryas Odisha

$187 Vol.

$2 Liq.

Legends Cricket League: Konark Suryas Odisha vs Southern Super Stars

Legends Cricket League: Konark Suryas Odisha vs Southern Super Stars

51%

Southern Super Stars

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

62%

Kimmer Coppejans

$57 Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Legends Cricket League: Konark Suryas Odisha vs Southern Super Stars

Legends Cricket League: Konark Suryas Odisha vs Southern Super Stars

50%

Southern Super Stars

$20 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Starmer.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for Starmer that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Legends Cricket League: Konark Suryas Odisha vs Southern Super Stars”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 78% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Starmer predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.