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Tech predictions & odds

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Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

85%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$234K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Largest Company end of June?
Tech·AI

Largest Company end of June?

86%

NVIDIA

$12M Vol.

$225K today

$1M Liq.

80

Ends in about 2 months

Largest Company end of May?
Tech·Big Tech

Largest Company end of May?

94%

NVIDIA

$4M Vol.

$207K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 17 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Tech·Elon Musk

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$74.4K today

$31.2K Liq.

49

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap

48%

$60B–$70B

$83.5K Vol.

$64.0K today

$29.6K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Which company has best AI model end of June?
Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of June?

73%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$55.7K today

$819K Liq.

62

Ends in about 2 months

Gemini 3.2 released on...?
Tech·AI

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

92%

May 19

$176K Vol.

$54.2K today

$167K Liq.

4

Ends in 17 days

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Tech·Elon Musk

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

64%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$6M Vol.

$148K Liq.

241

Ends in over 1 year

Gemini 3.5 released by...?
Tech·AI

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

23%

July 31

$1M Vol.

$34.8K Liq.

57

Ends in about 2 months

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

95%

$50B+

$130K Vol.

$40.6K Liq.

1

Ends in about 5 hours

2nd largest company end of May?
Tech·Big Tech

2nd largest company end of May?

95%

Alphabet

$179K Vol.

$175K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Tech·AI

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

9%

$79.3K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Tech·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

33%

$384K Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

40

Ends in 8 months

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

98%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$115K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

64%

Alibaba

$80.1K Vol.

$40.4K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
Tech·Elon Musk

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

94%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$123K Liq.

43

Ends in over 1 year

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?
Tech·AI

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

66%

Anthropic

$105K Vol.

$55.7K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?
Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

1%

1500+

$172K Vol.

$48.2K Liq.

99

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Tech·AI

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

86%

Anthropic

$385K Vol.

$186K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

42%

1.8T+

$45.0K Vol.

$39.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tech.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Tech that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which company has the best AI model end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $43.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Largest Company end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Largest Company end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to NVIDIA. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tech predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.