Skip to main content

Trade War predictions & odds

·
Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?

Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?

-

$1.1K Vol.

$727 Liq.

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

29%

South Korea

$268K Vol.

$133K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

39%

800–900B

$21.0K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

72%

US-China Board of Trade

$14.4K Vol.

$41.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

74%

$42.3K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

88%

Boeing Aircraft Purchase

$11.5K Vol.

$48.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 days

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$237K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

15

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

4%

$61.8K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 days

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

7%

$106K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$557K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

7%

$33.6K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

3%

$46.2K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

10

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

90%

$21.4K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

26%

$5.6K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

93%

Boeing

$75.7K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

4%

$46.9K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

7

Ends in 3 days

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

11%

$2M Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

85%

Ship / Chip

$460K Vol.

$347K today

$146K Liq.

27

Ends in 1 day

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

9%

$707K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Trade War.

Polymarket currently hosts 204 active markets for Trade War that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Trade War predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.