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Big Tech predictions & odds

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Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

86%

NVIDIA

$12M Vol.

$248K today

$1M Liq.

80

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

86%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$233K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

95%

NVIDIA

$4M Vol.

$195K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 17 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$63.8K today

$37.2K Liq.

49

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap

46%

$60B–$70B

$85.4K Vol.

$62.7K today

$27.8K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

72%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$56.4K today

$812K Liq.

62

Ends in about 2 months

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

23%

July 31

$1M Vol.

$37.1K Liq.

57

Ends in about 2 months

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

63%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$6M Vol.

$148K Liq.

242

Ends in over 1 year

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

94%

$50B+

$132K Vol.

$36.8K Liq.

1

Ends in about 3 hours

2nd largest company end of May?

2nd largest company end of May?

95%

Alphabet

$180K Vol.

$167K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

9%

$79.3K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

94%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$131K Liq.

43

Ends in over 1 year

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

98%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$113K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

86%

Anthropic

$385K Vol.

$190K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

42%

1.8T+

$45.0K Vol.

$40.6K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

3rd largest company end of May?

3rd largest company end of May?

96%

Apple

$114K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

100%

Cerebras

$6M Vol.

$96.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (May 13)

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (May 13)

100%

Crazy

$8.0K Vol.

$38.7K Liq.

2

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

61%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$535K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

95%

>$1T

$2M Vol.

$68.3K Liq.

19

Ends in over 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Big Tech.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Big Tech that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Largest Company end of June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $53.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Largest Company end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Largest Company end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to NVIDIA. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Big Tech predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.