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Google predictions & odds

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Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

86%

July 31

$1M Vol.

$179K today

$49.4K Liq.

92

Ends in about 2 months

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

95%

June 30

$417K Vol.

$98.9K today

$39.3K Liq.

20

Ends in about 2 months

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

76%

May 19

$262K Vol.

$51.4K today

$99.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 16 days

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

97%

June 30

$80.8K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

1%

1490+

$187K Vol.

$39.8K Liq.

100

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?

21%

$9.9K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

55%

None in 2026

$51.8K Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

32%

↑ 1550

$89.5K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

37%

11

$162K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

19

Ends in about 2 months

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

66%

June 30

$43.8K Vol.

$831 Liq.

1

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Google.

Polymarket currently hosts 10 active markets for Google that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Gemini 3.5 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Gemini 3.5 released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Gemini 3.5 released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Google predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.