Google's May 2026 I/O keynote positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro as the primary near-term catalyst, with CEO Sundar Pichai confirming a June release after shipping the lighter 3.5 Flash variant for agentic and coding workloads. This follows the February launch of 3.1 Pro, which improved complex reasoning benchmarks, and ongoing 3.x iterations that keep Google competitive against OpenAI and Anthropic's rapid model cadence. Traders are tracking official API changelogs, Vertex AI updates, and any last-minute delays from internal testing or infrastructure scaling. Key resolution thresholds include general availability in the Gemini API and enterprise platforms, with sentiment reflecting expectations of continued 3-series refinement rather than a full Gemini 4 jump until late 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$68,130 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
June 12
<1%
June 19
9%
June 26
21%
June 30
80%
July 31
94%
$68,130 ปริมาณ
June 12
$16,397 ปริมาณ
<1%
June 19
$11,213 ปริมาณ
9%
June 26
$10,958 ปริมาณ
21%
June 30
$19,584 ปริมาณ
80%
July 31
$7,515 ปริมาณ
94%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 2026 I/O keynote positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro as the primary near-term catalyst, with CEO Sundar Pichai confirming a June release after shipping the lighter 3.5 Flash variant for agentic and coding workloads. This follows the February launch of 3.1 Pro, which improved complex reasoning benchmarks, and ongoing 3.x iterations that keep Google competitive against OpenAI and Anthropic's rapid model cadence. Traders are tracking official API changelogs, Vertex AI updates, and any last-minute delays from internal testing or infrastructure scaling. Key resolution thresholds include general availability in the Gemini API and enterprise platforms, with sentiment reflecting expectations of continued 3-series refinement rather than a full Gemini 4 jump until late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,130วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 2026 I/O keynote positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro as the primary near-term catalyst, with CEO Sundar Pichai confirming a June release after shipping the lighter 3.5 Flash variant for agentic and coding workloads. This follows the February launch of 3.1 Pro, which improved complex reasoning benchmarks, and ongoing 3.x iterations that keep Google competitive against OpenAI and Anthropic's rapid model cadence. Traders are tracking official API changelogs, Vertex AI updates, and any last-minute delays from internal testing or infrastructure scaling. Key resolution thresholds include general availability in the Gemini API and enterprise platforms, with sentiment reflecting expectations of continued 3-series refinement rather than a full Gemini 4 jump until late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,130วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's May 2026 I/O keynote positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro as the primary near-term catalyst, with CEO Sundar Pichai confirming a June release after shipping the lighter 3.5 Flash variant for agentic and coding workloads. This follows the February launch of 3.1 Pro, which improved complex reasoning benchmarks, and ongoing 3.x iterations that keep Google competitive against OpenAI and Anthropic's rapid model cadence. Traders are tracking official API changelogs, Vertex AI updates, and any last-minute delays from internal testing or infrastructure scaling. Key resolution thresholds include general availability in the Gemini API and enterprise platforms, with sentiment reflecting expectations of continued 3-series refinement rather than a full Gemini 4 jump until late 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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