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Altman predictions & odds

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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

3%

$991K Vol.

$41.0K Liq.

69

Ends in 7 months

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$45.6K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

7

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

4%

$28.5K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

14%

$5.0K Vol.

$412 Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

13%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$696K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

20

Ends in 7 months

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

40%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$1.1K Vol.

$198K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

2%

$144K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

8

Ends in 7 months

Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Reymond/Sanchez vs Altmaier/Jebens

Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Reymond/Sanchez vs Altmaier/Jebens

53%

Reymond/Sanchez

$2.0K Vol.

$5 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Cattolica (Doubles): Cornea/Cukierman vs Genov/Whitehouse

Cattolica (Doubles): Cornea/Cukierman vs Genov/Whitehouse

99%

Cornea/Cukierman

$110 Vol.

$650 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs

67%

eternal premium

$0 Vol.

$324 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

ITF Varnamo: John Hallquist Lithen vs Aristotelis Thanos

ITF Varnamo: John Hallquist Lithen vs Aristotelis Thanos

75%

Aristotelis Thanos

$26 Vol.

$775 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

eternal premium

$725 Vol.

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

eternal premium

$17.1K Vol.

Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee

Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee

80%

Lanlana Tararudee

$31.4K Vol.

$70.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Libema Open (Doubles): Arribage/Olivetti vs Borges/Polmans

Libema Open (Doubles): Arribage/Olivetti vs Borges/Polmans

66%

Arribage/Olivetti

$1 Vol.

$191 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

ITF Vaasa: Felix Alopaeus vs Joaquin Guilleme

ITF Vaasa: Felix Alopaeus vs Joaquin Guilleme

53%

Joaquin Guilleme

$0 Vol.

$27 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX Academy vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX Academy vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

Wingman

$2.2K Vol.

ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Filip Jeff Planinsek

ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Filip Jeff Planinsek

52%

Vladyslav Orlov

$51 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Younes Lalami Laaroussi

ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Younes Lalami Laaroussi

57%

Yaroslav Demin

$209 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

5%

$2.6K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Altman.

Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for Altman that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which CEOs will be out before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Altman predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.