OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for the eventual IPO market cap. The company generates roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs that now exceed 40 percent of sales—yet remains unprofitable, with GAAP losses projected near $33 billion for 2026. A $7 billion secondary tender completed in early August reaffirmed the $852 billion mark, while reports of a potential delay into 2027 introduce timing uncertainty. Key swing factors include whether OpenAI delivers a major model advance before listing and prevailing equity-market sentiment toward high-growth, high-burn AI names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,516,603 Vol.
$1,516,603 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
$800B
87%
$1T
73%
$1.2T
59%
$1.4T
40%
$1.6T
18%
$1,516,603 Vol.
$1,516,603 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
$800B
$106,199 Vol.
87%
$1T
$1,046,096 Vol.
73%
$1.2T
$248,684 Vol.
59%
$1.4T
$67,298 Vol.
40%
$1.6T
$48,326 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for the eventual IPO market cap. The company generates roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs that now exceed 40 percent of sales—yet remains unprofitable, with GAAP losses projected near $33 billion for 2026. A $7 billion secondary tender completed in early August reaffirmed the $852 billion mark, while reports of a potential delay into 2027 introduce timing uncertainty. Key swing factors include whether OpenAI delivers a major model advance before listing and prevailing equity-market sentiment toward high-growth, high-burn AI names.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,516,603End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for the eventual IPO market cap. The company generates roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs that now exceed 40 percent of sales—yet remains unprofitable, with GAAP losses projected near $33 billion for 2026. A $7 billion secondary tender completed in early August reaffirmed the $852 billion mark, while reports of a potential delay into 2027 introduce timing uncertainty. Key swing factors include whether OpenAI delivers a major model advance before listing and prevailing equity-market sentiment toward high-growth, high-burn AI names.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,516,603End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for the eventual IPO market cap. The company generates roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs that now exceed 40 percent of sales—yet remains unprofitable, with GAAP losses projected near $33 billion for 2026. A $7 billion secondary tender completed in early August reaffirmed the $852 billion mark, while reports of a potential delay into 2027 introduce timing uncertainty. Key swing factors include whether OpenAI delivers a major model advance before listing and prevailing equity-market sentiment toward high-growth, high-burn AI names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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