Market icon

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$74,779 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.

Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Volume
$74,779
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
May 22, 2025, 2:48 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$74,779 Vol.

Market icon

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

March 31, 2026

$32,952 Vol.

6%

December 31, 2026

$591 Vol.

52%

About

Volume
$74,779
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
May 22, 2025, 2:48 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.