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World predictions & odds

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Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$70M Vol.

$2M today

$6M Liq.

499

Ends in 12 months

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

78%

December 31

$23M Vol.

$2M today

$412K Liq.

1,454

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

46%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$71M Vol.

$2M today

$4M Liq.

6,381

Ends in 5 months

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

85%

Chong Won-oh

$38M Vol.

$797K today

$5M Liq.

96

Ends in 20 days

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$23M Vol.

$335K today

$980K Liq.

73

Ends in 8 months

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

24%

No Next PM in 2026

$6M Vol.

$272K today

$748K Liq.

78

Ends in 8 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

44%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$29M Vol.

$229K today

$2M Liq.

419

Ends in about 1 month

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$219K today

$43.3K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

29%

$28M Vol.

$178K today

$1M Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

2%

$2M Vol.

$131K today

$206K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

41%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$8M Vol.

$127K today

$829K Liq.

245

Ends in 8 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

13%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$125K today

$405K Liq.

376

Ends in about 2 months

Xi Jinping out by June 30?
World

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

2%

$3M Vol.

$89.5K today

$41.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

88%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$6M Vol.

$88.9K today

$1M Liq.

28

Ends in 18 days

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
World·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

8%

Yulia Navalnaya

$16M Vol.

$87.6K today

$1M Liq.

169

Ends in 5 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

5%

$39M Vol.

$83.3K today

$701K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

61%

United Russia (ER)

$8M Vol.

$77.3K today

$418K Liq.

189

Ends in 4 months

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

49%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$76.7K today

$25.2K Liq.

96

Ends in 8 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

64%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$8M Vol.

$70.0K today

$1M Liq.

106

Ends in 8 months

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

60%

$850K Vol.

$62.2K today

$15.2K Liq.

178

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like World.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for World that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next French Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $402.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 46% chance to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on World predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.