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Venezuela predictions & odds

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US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

40%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$200K today

$56.8K Liq.

57

Ends in 8 months

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

65%

Nicolás Maduro

$88M Vol.

$114K today

$1M Liq.

331

Ends in 8 months

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

4%

$195K Vol.

$104K Liq.

22

Ends in 8 months

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

97%

1.1m

$110K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

7

Ends in 10 months

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

24%

$2M Vol.

$81.4K Liq.

54

Ends in 8 months

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

21%

June 30

$6M Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

383

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

59%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$85.2K Liq.

66

Ends in about 2 months

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

85%

Delcy Rodríguez

$16.4K Vol.

$604K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

16%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

164

Ends in 8 months

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

22%

$15.3K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

44%

December 31

$575K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

20%

June 30

$219K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

16

Ends in about 2 months

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

37

Ends in about 2 months

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

15%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

60

US strike on Colombia by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

18%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

43

Maduro Prison Time?

Maduro Prison Time?

35%

60+

$527K Vol.

$45.1K Liq.

22

Ends in over 1 year

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

6%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

23%

$220K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

16

Ends in 8 months

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

11%

December 31

$14M Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

1,177

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

97%

December 31

$273K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

17

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Venezuela.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Venezuela that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US military action against Cuba by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $128.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Venezuela leader end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Venezuela leader end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 65% chance to Nicolás Maduro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Venezuela predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.