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Shipping predictions & odds

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Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

6%

$411K Vol.

$77.6K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

1%

$52.4K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$477K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

33

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

1%

$4.8K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

69%

0-10

$98.4K Vol.

$96.4K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

26%

$139K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

282

Ends in 17 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$58.8K today

$36.6K Liq.

49

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

46%

20+

$373K Vol.

$43.2K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

1%

$137K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

32%

$5M Vol.

$201K today

$280K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

11%

United Kingdom

$805K Vol.

$52.6K today

$321K Liq.

12

Ends in 17 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

7%

$13M Vol.

$642K today

$599K Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

51%

$97

$2.5K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in about 24 hours

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

<1%

$15M Vol.

$519K today

$2M Liq.

2

Ends in 1 day

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

52%

June 30

$17M Vol.

$247K today

$304K Liq.

444

Ends in about 2 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

78%

$87.6K Vol.

$134K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above __?

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above __?

41%

$1.50B

$0 Vol.

$46 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

54%

↑ $1.80

$1.5K Vol.

$352 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Shipping.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Shipping that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $57.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 52% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Shipping predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.