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Close predictions & odds

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What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

29%

$7,000-$7,500

$25.4K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

76%

Paramount

$1M Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

56

Ends in about 1 year

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

-

$52 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

69%

$111K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap

<1%

No IPO before July 2026

$371K Vol.

$280K today

$285K Liq.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

99%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$126K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

<1%

No IPO before July 2026

$157K Vol.

$386K Liq.

EagleRock IPO Closing Market Cap

EagleRock IPO Closing Market Cap

<1%

No IPO before July 2026

$24.9K Vol.

$267K Liq.

Micware IPO Closing Market Cap

Micware IPO Closing Market Cap

<1%

No IPO before July 2026

$7.0K Vol.

$246K Liq.

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust IPO Closing Market Cap

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust IPO Closing Market Cap

<1%

No IPO before July 2026

$7.9K Vol.

$247K Liq.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

33%

2.0T-2.5T

$2M Vol.

$60.6K Liq.

8

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes week of May 11 at ___?

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes week of May 11 at ___?

50%

>$235

$4.0K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

94%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$132K Liq.

43

Ends in over 1 year

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

88%

600B+

$298K Vol.

$73.9K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Apple (AAPL) closes week of May 11 at ___?

Apple (AAPL) closes week of May 11 at ___?

45%

$295-$300

$1.7K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

61%

2.0T+

$947K Vol.

$66.0K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of May 11 at ___?

Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of May 11 at ___?

91%

$4.00-$5.00

$23.6K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of May 11 at ___?

Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of May 11 at ___?

60%

$400-$410

$1.3K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 15?

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 15?

96%

$390

$611 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Meta (META) closes week of May 11 at ___?

Meta (META) closes week of May 11 at ___?

30%

>$660

$676 Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 845 active markets for Close that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes),” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes),” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to 1T+. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Close predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.