Strong corporate earnings growth, with S&P 500 EPS forecasts upgraded to roughly 24% for full-year 2026 amid robust AI capital spending and broader participation beyond mega-cap names, anchors trader sentiment for the index closing above 7,500 by year-end. Analyst targets from firms including Goldman Sachs at 8,000 and JP Morgan at 7,800 reflect this momentum, consistent with the market-implied 60% probability of finishing above 7,500. Persistent inflation near 3.5% year-over-year and the Fed's 3.5–3.75% policy rate introduce caution around potential rate path shifts, tempering the >8,000 outcome at 39% while supporting the 21% probability band for 7,500–8,000. Upcoming earnings reports and any FOMC signals on monetary policy remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated>$8,000 35%
$7,500-$8,000 21%
$7,000-$7,500 18%
$6,500-$7,000 12%
$39,542 Vol.
$39,542 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
6%
$6,000-$6,500
7%
$6,500-$7,000
12%
$7,000-$7,500
18%
$7,500-$8,000
21%
>$8,000
39%
>$8,000 35%
$7,500-$8,000 21%
$7,000-$7,500 18%
$6,500-$7,000 12%
$39,542 Vol.
$39,542 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$20,382 Vol.
6%
$6,000-$6,500
$2,301 Vol.
7%
$6,500-$7,000
$4,408 Vol.
12%
$7,000-$7,500
$2,460 Vol.
18%
$7,500-$8,000
$3,974 Vol.
21%
>$8,000
$6,018 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, with S&P 500 EPS forecasts upgraded to roughly 24% for full-year 2026 amid robust AI capital spending and broader participation beyond mega-cap names, anchors trader sentiment for the index closing above 7,500 by year-end. Analyst targets from firms including Goldman Sachs at 8,000 and JP Morgan at 7,800 reflect this momentum, consistent with the market-implied 60% probability of finishing above 7,500. Persistent inflation near 3.5% year-over-year and the Fed's 3.5–3.75% policy rate introduce caution around potential rate path shifts, tempering the >8,000 outcome at 39% while supporting the 21% probability band for 7,500–8,000. Upcoming earnings reports and any FOMC signals on monetary policy remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Volume
$39,542End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, with S&P 500 EPS forecasts upgraded to roughly 24% for full-year 2026 amid robust AI capital spending and broader participation beyond mega-cap names, anchors trader sentiment for the index closing above 7,500 by year-end. Analyst targets from firms including Goldman Sachs at 8,000 and JP Morgan at 7,800 reflect this momentum, consistent with the market-implied 60% probability of finishing above 7,500. Persistent inflation near 3.5% year-over-year and the Fed's 3.5–3.75% policy rate introduce caution around potential rate path shifts, tempering the >8,000 outcome at 39% while supporting the 21% probability band for 7,500–8,000. Upcoming earnings reports and any FOMC signals on monetary policy remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$39,542End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strong corporate earnings growth, with S&P 500 EPS forecasts upgraded to roughly 24% for full-year 2026 amid robust AI capital spending and broader participation beyond mega-cap names, anchors trader sentiment for the index closing above 7,500 by year-end. Analyst targets from firms including Goldman Sachs at 8,000 and JP Morgan at 7,800 reflect this momentum, consistent with the market-implied 60% probability of finishing above 7,500. Persistent inflation near 3.5% year-over-year and the Fed's 3.5–3.75% policy rate introduce caution around potential rate path shifts, tempering the >8,000 outcome at 39% while supporting the 21% probability band for 7,500–8,000. Upcoming earnings reports and any FOMC signals on monetary policy remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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