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Oil predictions & odds

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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

84%

↓ $95

$15M Vol.

$890K today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

7%

$13M Vol.

$611K today

$549K Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

<1%

$15M Vol.

$601K today

$2M Liq.

2

Ends in 1 day

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

86%

↑ $105

$16M Vol.

$206K today

$843K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

32%

$5M Vol.

$206K today

$215K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?

6%

Up

$92.8K Vol.

$92.8K today

$15.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

11%

United Kingdom

$804K Vol.

$61.3K today

$337K Liq.

12

Ends in 17 days

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 13?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 13?

98%

$96

$49.0K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of May 11 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of May 11 2026?

23%

↑ $105

$96.1K Vol.

$30.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

46%

$60.6K Vol.

$98.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

21%

September 30

$3M Vol.

$108K Liq.

94

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

45%

20+

$372K Vol.

$37.8K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

69%

0-10

$98.4K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

49%

<20

$23.2K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

97%

1.1m

$110K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

7

Ends in 10 months

Crude Oil all time high by...?

Crude Oil all time high by...?

38%

December 31

$169K Vol.

$32.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

30%

November 2

$4.0K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

22%

Frontier Airlines

$87.7K Vol.

$174K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

85%

$97

$2.0K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

88%

↑ $4.60

$138K Vol.

$29.6K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Oil.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Oil that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $69.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ $90. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Oil predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.