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Traffic predictions & odds

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

7%

$13M Vol.

$585K today

$614K Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

<1%

$15M Vol.

$536K today

$2M Liq.

2

Ends in about 23 hours

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

32%

$5M Vol.

$151K today

$391K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

76%

$100K Vol.

$132K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

46%

$63.0K Vol.

$114K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

10

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$477K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

33

Number of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?

Number of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?

51%

17.5-18m

$469 Vol.

$482 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

2.5-2.75m

$15.5K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

48%

20+

$375K Vol.

$45.8K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

99%

$715

$4.4K Vol.

$52.1K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

56%

December 31

$477K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

46

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

51%

↓ 75,000

$14M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends in 18 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

47%

20-39

$24.6K Vol.

$29.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

52%

June 30

$17M Vol.

$193K today

$312K Liq.

447

Ends in about 2 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

87%

$97

$3.0K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

17%

↑ $3

$642K Vol.

$39.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$29.8K Liq.

49

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Traffic.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Traffic that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $70.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 52% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Traffic predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.