Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed near-total internet blackouts since January 2026, initially to suppress nationwide anti-government protests sparked by economic collapse and later intensified after U.S. and Israeli military strikes in February. Connectivity fell below 5% of normal levels for months, with phased restorations beginning only in late May after President Masoud Pezeshkian directed partial reopening. As of September 2026, access remains heavily filtered and slow, with major platforms blocked and VPN circumvention restricted, while reports indicate progress on a national intranet and kill-switch infrastructure managed through entities linked to the IRGC and Supreme National Security Council. Ongoing protests, surveillance expansions, and security priorities continue to shape decisions on connectivity controls, with trader assessments reflecting the balance between these repressive tools, economic costs, and any diplomatic or internal pressures that could trigger or avert a full cutoff by target dates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$249,128 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
1%
December 31
21%
$249,128 Vol.
September 30
$6,892 Vol.
1%
December 31
$12,785 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed near-total internet blackouts since January 2026, initially to suppress nationwide anti-government protests sparked by economic collapse and later intensified after U.S. and Israeli military strikes in February. Connectivity fell below 5% of normal levels for months, with phased restorations beginning only in late May after President Masoud Pezeshkian directed partial reopening. As of September 2026, access remains heavily filtered and slow, with major platforms blocked and VPN circumvention restricted, while reports indicate progress on a national intranet and kill-switch infrastructure managed through entities linked to the IRGC and Supreme National Security Council. Ongoing protests, surveillance expansions, and security priorities continue to shape decisions on connectivity controls, with trader assessments reflecting the balance between these repressive tools, economic costs, and any diplomatic or internal pressures that could trigger or avert a full cutoff by target dates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$249,128End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed near-total internet blackouts since January 2026, initially to suppress nationwide anti-government protests sparked by economic collapse and later intensified after U.S. and Israeli military strikes in February. Connectivity fell below 5% of normal levels for months, with phased restorations beginning only in late May after President Masoud Pezeshkian directed partial reopening. As of September 2026, access remains heavily filtered and slow, with major platforms blocked and VPN circumvention restricted, while reports indicate progress on a national intranet and kill-switch infrastructure managed through entities linked to the IRGC and Supreme National Security Council. Ongoing protests, surveillance expansions, and security priorities continue to shape decisions on connectivity controls, with trader assessments reflecting the balance between these repressive tools, economic costs, and any diplomatic or internal pressures that could trigger or avert a full cutoff by target dates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$249,128End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed near-total internet blackouts since January 2026, initially to suppress nationwide anti-government protests sparked by economic collapse and later intensified after U.S. and Israeli military strikes in February. Connectivity fell below 5% of normal levels for months, with phased restorations beginning only in late May after President Masoud Pezeshkian directed partial reopening. As of September 2026, access remains heavily filtered and slow, with major platforms blocked and VPN circumvention restricted, while reports indicate progress on a national intranet and kill-switch infrastructure managed through entities linked to the IRGC and Supreme National Security Council. Ongoing protests, surveillance expansions, and security priorities continue to shape decisions on connectivity controls, with trader assessments reflecting the balance between these repressive tools, economic costs, and any diplomatic or internal pressures that could trigger or avert a full cutoff by target dates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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