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Reino Unido previsões e probabilidades

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Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

98%

Andy Burnham

$15M Vol.

$162K today

$3M Liq.

129

Ends em 6 meses

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

<1%

$3M Vol.

$207K today

$174K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

63%

Ed Miliband

$407K Vol.

$233K Liq.

11

Ends em 6 meses

Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

43%

No next Foreign Secretary in 2026

$58.0K Vol.

$209K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?

Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?

99%

September 30

$60.3K Vol.

$93.9K Liq.

3

Ends em 3 meses

Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?

Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?

77%

No next Home Secretary in 2026

$13.7K Vol.

$133K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

8%

$5.3K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

5

Ends em 6 meses

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

28%

June 30, 2027

$797K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

15

Ends há 6 meses

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

12%

$567 Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

1%

$99.5K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

4

Ends em 2 dias

June Inflation UK - Annual

June Inflation UK - Annual

30%

2.2-2.4%

$9.8K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

28%

$5.6K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

3

Ends em 9 meses

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

40%

4-5%

$2.1K Vol.

$572 Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

<1%

$5.0K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

43%

0.6–0.7%

$161 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

62%

June 30, 2027

$151 Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

92%

Starmer - UK PM

$6M Vol.

$2M today

$1M Liq.

92

Ends em 6 meses

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

91%

Bev Craig

$150K Vol.

$426K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

100%

June 30

$176K Vol.

$108K Liq.

15

Ends em 2 dias

Starmer officially leaves office by…?

Starmer officially leaves office by…?

99%

July 31

$74.9K Vol.

$70.1K Liq.

6

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Reino Unido.

Polymarket currently hosts 39 active markets for Reino Unido that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to Andy Burnham. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Reino Unido predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.