Stalled Ukraine mediation and the absence of scheduled bilateral engagements have positioned the no-meeting outcome as the leading trader consensus at 61 percent. As of early June 2026, Kremlin statements confirmed no plans for a Trump-Putin call or envoy visits to Russia, with the mediation process described as on hold despite ongoing lower-level contacts. Recent Putin-Xi meetings in May 2026, occurring shortly after Trump's China visit, have lifted China to 19.5 percent by highlighting deepening Moscow-Beijing coordination that could facilitate a neutral third-country site. Lower probabilities for Russia, the United States, or other venues reflect persistent sanctions, battlefield stalemate, and lack of confirmed diplomatic timelines through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOnde Trump e Putin se encontrarão em 2026?
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 Vol.
$48,275 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro
61%

China
20%

Russia
5%

Gulf country
5%

United States
5%

Turkey
3%

Belarus
2%

Switzerland
2%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

South Korea
1%

Ukraine
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 Vol.
$48,275 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro
61%

China
20%

Russia
5%

Gulf country
5%

United States
5%

Turkey
3%

Belarus
2%

Switzerland
2%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

South Korea
1%

Ukraine
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stalled Ukraine mediation and the absence of scheduled bilateral engagements have positioned the no-meeting outcome as the leading trader consensus at 61 percent. As of early June 2026, Kremlin statements confirmed no plans for a Trump-Putin call or envoy visits to Russia, with the mediation process described as on hold despite ongoing lower-level contacts. Recent Putin-Xi meetings in May 2026, occurring shortly after Trump's China visit, have lifted China to 19.5 percent by highlighting deepening Moscow-Beijing coordination that could facilitate a neutral third-country site. Lower probabilities for Russia, the United States, or other venues reflect persistent sanctions, battlefield stalemate, and lack of confirmed diplomatic timelines through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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